Calvo Sotelo
vs
Albacete
Garuda Lions Prediction: Calvo Sotelo
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete
| Probability | Calvo Sotelo | Draw | Albacete |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.4% | 27.1% | 25.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.4% | 27.1% | 25.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Calvo Sotelo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.13.
Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete match preview
Calvo Sotelo faces Albacete in the Copa del Rey on October 28, 2026, with a kickoff at 19:00 UTC. According to our model, Calvo Sotelo has a 47% chance of winning, while Albacete has a 26% probability of victory, and a draw stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-1 in favor of Calvo Sotelo, with an expected goals tally of 1.61 for Calvo Sotelo and 1.13 for Albacete.
Albacete's recent form shows a struggle, with four losses and one draw in their last six matches. In contrast, Calvo Sotelo's recent performance data is not available. Our model indicates a 52% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score in this matchup, reflecting a potentially competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Calvo Sotelo and Albacete expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Calvo Sotelo and Albacete attack and defence ratings
Calvo Sotelo
Albacete
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Calvo Sotelo | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Calvo Sotelo | 47.4% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Albacete | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% |
| No | 44.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Calvo Sotelo win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 52.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 9.2% |
Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete stats
Calvo Sotelo and Albacete recent form
| Calvo Sotelo | no matches on record |
| Albacete |
LLLLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.