Allsvenskan Β· Β·Matchday 25

Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS

Garuda Lions Prediction: Djurgardens IF

2 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

3Arena, Stockholm

Djurgardens IF 83%
Draw 11%
Orgryte IS 5%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Djurgardens IF wins
83%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
42%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDjurgardens IFDrawOrgryte IS
Model84.0%11.8%4.2%
Market82.9%11.3%5.8%
Final83.2%11.4%5.4%
Edge+1.2%+0.5%-1.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Djurgardens IF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.91 vs 0.57.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.12, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS match preview

Djurgardens IF enters the match against Orgryte IS with a strong probability of winning at 84%. Their recent form shows a series of victories, with the last six matches resulting in five wins and one loss. The expected goals for Djurgardens IF stand at 2.91, indicating a potent attacking threat, while Orgryte IS is projected to score only 0.57 goals.

In contrast, Orgryte IS has struggled recently, with their last five matches yielding four losses and one draw. The likelihood of the match featuring over 2.5 goals is 68%, suggesting a high-scoring encounter. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Djurgardens IF, occurring with a 13% probability. Both teams to score has a lower likelihood at 42%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Djurgardens IF ↓ / Orgryte IS β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 13% 3 13% 4+ 19% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS expected goals

Djurgardens IF 2.91
Orgryte IS 0.57

Total expected goals: 3.48

Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS attack and defence ratings

Djurgardens IF

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 0.50 -50%

Orgryte IS

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Djurgardens IF 83.2% 1.20 +1.2% 1.12
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.6% 1.48 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 58.3% 1.72 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 94.6% 1.06 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Djurgardens IF win 65.8% 1.52 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Djurgardens IF83.2%
Draw11.4%
Orgryte IS5.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.6%
Under 2.532.4%
Both teams to scoreYes41.7%
No58.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)94.6%
12 (either side)88.6%
X2 (draw or away)16.8%
Handicap -1Djurgardens IF win65.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss16.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-013.0%
3-012.6%
4-09.2%

Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS stats

Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS recent form

newest first
Djurgardens IF WWLWWW
Orgryte IS LLLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Djurgardens IF and Orgryte IS season so far

league record

Djurgardens IF record

  • They have won 14 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 23 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Orgryte IS record

  • They have won 3 of their 23 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 23 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 23 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Djurgardens IF wins 1Draws 0Orgryte IS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-20Orgryte ISDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Djurgardens IF vs Orgryte IS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 82.9%, draw 11.3%, away 5.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.12 8.20 16.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.12 β€”
X 8.20 β€”
2 16.00 β€”

2 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Djurgardens IF Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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