Orgryte IS
vs
Mjallby AIF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mjallby AIF
1 – 2 Predicted score · 6% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Mjallby AIF is the favourite, not a value bet.
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF
| Probability | Orgryte IS | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.2% | 25.2% | 20.7% |
| Market | 25.3% | 25.3% | 49.5% |
| Final | 32.5% | 25.3% | 42.3% |
| Edge | +7.2% | -0.0% | -7.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.93, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -18.4% per unit staked (our 42.3% × 1.93 − 1).
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF match preview
Orgryte IS faces Mjallby AIF in an upcoming Allsvenskan match with a kickoff scheduled for October 29, 2026. According to our model, Orgryte IS has a 33% probability of winning, while Mjallby AIF stands at 40%, and a draw is estimated at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 6% probability. The expected goals for Orgryte IS are 1.69, compared to 1.12 for Mjallby AIF.
In terms of recent form, Orgryte IS has recorded one win and four losses in their last six matches, along with one draw. Mjallby AIF has a mixed record, with two draws, one win, and three losses in their last six games. Both teams have a 56% chance of scoring, and there is a 53% likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Orgryte IS and Mjallby AIF expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
Orgryte IS and Mjallby AIF attack and defence ratings
Orgryte IS
Mjallby AIF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 42.3% | 2.37 | -7.2% | 1.93 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orgryte IS | 32.5% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Mjallby AIF | 42.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% |
| No | 44.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mjallby AIF win | 7.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.7% | |
| Loss | 79.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.4% |
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF stats
Orgryte IS and Mjallby AIF recent form
| Orgryte IS |
DWLLLD |
| Mjallby AIF |
LDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Orgryte IS and Mjallby AIF season so far
Orgryte IS record
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mjallby AIF record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Mjallby AIF | Orgryte IS | Allsvenskan | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-27 | Orgryte IS | Mjallby AIF | Svenska Cupen | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.3%, draw 25.3%, away 49.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.71 | 3.72 | 1.88 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.90 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| Betano | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.93 |
| Marathonbet | 3.72 | 3.72 | 1.86 |
| Pinnacle | 3.77 | 3.76 | 1.88 |
| SBO | 3.26 | 3.19 | 1.89 |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .