IF Brommapojkarna
vs
BK Hacken
Garuda Lions Prediction: BK Hacken
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.03.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken
| Probability | IF Brommapojkarna | Draw | BK Hacken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.6% | 21.1% | 63.3% |
| Market | 22.6% | 23.5% | 53.9% |
| Final | 20.8% | 22.9% | 56.3% |
| Edge | -1.7% | -0.6% | +2.3% |
Why BK Hacken
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices BK Hacken below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.77, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.4% per unit staked (our 56.3% × 1.77 − 1).
IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken match preview
In the upcoming Allsvenskan match, IF Brommapojkarna faces BK Hacken with probabilities indicating a strong advantage for the visitors. According to our model, BK Hacken has a 61% chance of winning, while IF Brommapojkarna stands at 18% and a draw at 22%. The expected goals suggest a significant difference, with IF Brommapojkarna at 1.11 and BK Hacken at 2.17.
Recent form shows IF Brommapojkarna with a mixed record of L-W-L-L-W-L, whereas BK Hacken has been more consistent with W-W-W-D-D-L. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood that both teams will score in the match.
IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken team news
IF Brommapojkarna news
- K. Sever — injury
BK Hacken news
- B. Engdahl — lower-body injury
- F. Ohman — shoulder injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken attack and defence ratings
IF Brommapojkarna
BK Hacken
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BK Hacken | 56.3% | 1.78 | +2.3% | 1.77 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | BK Hacken win | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Brommapojkarna | 20.8% |
| Draw | 22.9% | |
| BK Hacken | 56.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | BK Hacken win | 41.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 36.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 9.5% |
IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken stats
IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken recent form
| IF Brommapojkarna |
WLWLLW |
| BK Hacken |
WWWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken season so far
IF Brommapojkarna record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BK Hacken record
- They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | BK Hacken | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | IF Brommapojkarna | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 1-3 |
| 2025-03-29 | BK Hacken | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2024-08-18 | IF Brommapojkarna | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-15 | BK Hacken | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 4-3 |
| 2024-03-02 | BK Hacken | IF Brommapojkarna | Svenska Cupen | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-12 | IF Brommapojkarna | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2023-07-15 | BK Hacken | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 4-2 |
| 2018-08-26 | BK Hacken | IF Brommapojkarna | Allsvenskan | 6-0 |
| 2018-04-09 | IF Brommapojkarna | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.6%, draw 23.5%, away 53.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.16 | 4.15 | 1.70 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.10 | 3.95 | 1.75 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 4.00 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.77 |
| Marathonbet | 4.20 | 4.15 | 1.68 |
| Pinnacle | 4.21 | 4.05 | 1.73 |
| SBO | 3.72 | 3.61 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .