BK Hacken
vs
IFK Goteborg
Garuda Lions Prediction: BK Hacken
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — BK Hacken is the favourite, not a value bet.
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg
| Probability | BK Hacken | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.4% | 29.1% | 22.5% |
| Market | 51.8% | 23.3% | 24.9% |
| Final | 50.9% | 24.8% | 24.3% |
| Edge | -0.8% | +1.5% | -0.6% |
Why BK Hacken
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.91.
Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.3% per unit staked (our 50.9% × 1.80 − 1).
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg match preview
BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg are set to clash in the Allsvenskan on November 1, 2026. According to our model, BK Hacken has a 49% probability of winning, while IFK Goteborg stands at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of BK Hacken, with an expected goals tally of 1.45 for them and 0.91 for Goteborg. Recent form shows BK Hacken on a strong run with four wins and two draws, while IFK Goteborg has also performed well, recording four wins and two draws in their last six matches.
In their last three head-to-head encounters, BK Hacken has secured two victories, while IFK Goteborg has one win. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 42%, and both teams to score stands at 47%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg attack and defence ratings
BK Hacken
IFK Goteborg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BK Hacken | 50.9% | 1.96 | -0.8% | 1.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BK Hacken | 50.9% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| IFK Goteborg | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | BK Hacken win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 10.6% |
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg stats
BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg recent form
| BK Hacken |
WWWWDD |
| IFK Goteborg |
DDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
BK Hacken and IFK Goteborg season so far
BK Hacken record
- They have won 12 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
IFK Goteborg record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | IFK Goteborg | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-15 | BK Hacken | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-20 | IFK Goteborg | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
BK Hacken vs IFK Goteborg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.8%, draw 23.3%, away 24.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.74 |