Djurgardens IF
vs
Degerfors IF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Djurgardens IF
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.57.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Djurgardens IF is the favourite, not a value bet.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF
| Probability | Djurgardens IF | Draw | Degerfors IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.5% | 15.6% | 5.9% |
| Market | 71.8% | 17.3% | 10.9% |
| Final | 73.5% | 16.9% | 9.7% |
| Edge | +1.7% | -0.4% | -1.2% |
Why Djurgardens IF
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.48 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.5% per unit staked (our 73.5% × 1.30 − 1).
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF match preview
Djurgardens IF enters the match against Degerfors IF with a strong probability of winning at 79%, reflecting their recent form of D-W-W-L-W-W. The expected goals for Djurgardens IF stand at 2.48, while Degerfors IF is projected to score only 0.57. Historically, Djurgardens IF has dominated their recent encounters, securing 2 wins and 1 draw in the last three matchups against Degerfors IF, who have yet to claim a victory.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 15% likelihood. Additionally, there is a 59% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, while both teams scoring is estimated at 41%. Degerfors IF's recent form shows a struggle, with their last five matches yielding only one draw and four losses.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Djurgardens IF and Degerfors IF expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.05
Djurgardens IF and Degerfors IF attack and defence ratings
Djurgardens IF
Degerfors IF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Djurgardens IF | 73.5% | 1.36 | +1.7% | 1.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Djurgardens IF win | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Djurgardens IF | 73.5% |
| Draw | 16.9% | |
| Degerfors IF | 9.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.6% |
| No | 59.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Djurgardens IF win | 56.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 21.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.5% |
| 3-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-0 | 11.1% |
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF stats
Djurgardens IF and Degerfors IF recent form
| Djurgardens IF |
DWWLWW |
| Degerfors IF |
LLDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Djurgardens IF and Degerfors IF season so far
Djurgardens IF record
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Degerfors IF record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 25 matches.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Degerfors IF | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Degerfors IF | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-06 | Djurgardens IF | Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Djurgardens IF vs Degerfors IF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.8%, draw 17.3%, away 10.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 5.40 | 8.55 |