Allsvenskan Β· Β·Matchday 28

Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF

Garuda Lions Prediction: Djurgardens IF

0 – 2 Predicted score Β· 15% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 0.59.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” Djurgardens IF is the favourite, not a value bet.

Orjans Vall, HalmstadReferee: Victor Wolf

Halmstad 11%
Draw 19%
Djurgardens IF 69%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance Djurgardens IF wins
69%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
93%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
40%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 2
15% of simulated outcomes

Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHalmstadDrawDjurgardens IF
Model8.2%19.6%72.2%
Market12.6%19.2%68.3%
Final11.5%19.3%69.3%
Edge-1.1%+0.1%+1.0%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Why Djurgardens IF

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 0.59.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.7% per unit staked (our 69.3% Γ— 1.39 βˆ’ 1).

Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF match preview

Halmstad faces Djurgardens IF in an Allsvenskan clash with a significant disparity in expected outcomes. According to our model, Halmstad has a 9% chance of winning, while Djurgardens IF stands at 71%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with a probability of 14%. Halmstad's recent form shows a mix of results, including two wins and three losses, while Djurgardens IF has performed relatively better with three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches.

The expected goals for Halmstad are 0.63, contrasting sharply with Djurgardens IF's 2.10. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams scoring has a 42% probability. The head-to-head record in the last three encounters shows one win for each team and one draw, indicating a competitive matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Halmstad ↓ / Djurgardens IF β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 15% 11% 9% 1 9% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 7%

Halmstad and Djurgardens IF expected goals

Halmstad 0.59
Djurgardens IF 2.13

Total expected goals: 2.72

Halmstad and Djurgardens IF attack and defence ratings

Halmstad

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Djurgardens IF

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Djurgardens IF 69.3% 1.44 +1.0% 1.39
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.2% 1.95 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 59.7% 1.68 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 88.5% 1.13 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Djurgardens IF win 48.1% 2.08 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Halmstad11.5%
Draw19.3%
Djurgardens IF69.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.2%
Under 2.548.8%
Both teams to scoreYes40.3%
No59.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)30.7%
12 (either side)80.7%
X2 (draw or away)88.5%
Handicap -1Djurgardens IF win48.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss27.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-214.9%
0-113.2%
0-310.6%

Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF stats

Halmstad and Djurgardens IF recent form

newest first
Halmstad LLWLLW
Djurgardens IF WDDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Halmstad and Djurgardens IF season so far

league record

Halmstad record

  • They have won 4 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.

Djurgardens IF record

  • They have won 15 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.

Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Halmstad wins 1Draws 1Djurgardens IF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-13Djurgardens IFHalmstadAllsvenskan3-0
2025-08-03Djurgardens IFHalmstadAllsvenskan1-1
2025-06-01HalmstadDjurgardens IFAllsvenskan1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 12.6%, draw 19.2%, away 68.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 7.49 4.85 1.37
Bet365 7.50 5.00 1.36
BetVictor 7.50 4.80 1.33
Betano 7.40 4.65 1.39
Betfair 7.00 5.00 1.36
Dafabet 7.40 5.20 1.38
Marathonbet 7.50 4.85 1.36
Pinnacle 7.07 5.25 1.37
SBO 6.18 4.42 1.32
William Hill 7.00 4.80 1.36

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 7.40 β–² +0.40
X 4.85 β–² +0.05
2 1.36 β–Ό -0.03

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Djurgardens IF Predicted score 0 – 2 Low Bet Now
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