Allsvenskan Β· Β·Matchday 28

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF

Garuda Lions Prediction: IF Brommapojkarna

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this β€” IF Brommapojkarna is the favourite, not a value bet.

Grimsta IP, StockholmReferee: Glenn Nyberg

IF Brommapojkarna 39%
Draw 28%
Mjallby AIF 33%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance IF Brommapojkarna wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
46%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF overview

Garuda Lions analysis: IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIF BrommapojkarnaDrawMjallby AIF
Model39.9%31.3%28.8%
Market38.3%27.1%34.7%
Final38.7%28.1%33.2%
Edge+0.4%+1.1%-1.5%

Confidence: Low Β· Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.2% per unit staked (our 38.7% Γ— 2.50 βˆ’ 1).

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF match preview

IF Brommapojkarna will face Mjallby AIF in an Allsvenskan clash on November 8, 2026. According to our model, IF Brommapojkarna has a 53% probability of winning, while Mjallby AIF stands at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 11% chance, and both teams have a near-equal probability of scoring, with 51% for both teams to score. The expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna is 1.67, compared to Mjallby AIF's 0.97.

Recent form shows IF Brommapojkarna with a mixed record of D-W-L-W-L-L, while Mjallby AIF has a slightly better run of W-L-D-L-W-D. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Mjallby AIF has dominated with three wins against IF Brommapojkarna. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

IF Brommapojka ↓ / Mjallby AIF β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF expected goals

IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
Mjallby AIF 1.01

Total expected goals: 2.24

IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF attack and defence ratings

IF Brommapojkarna

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Mjallby AIF

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Allsvenskan

Before and after this match

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 IF Brommapojkarna 38.7% 2.58 +0.4% 2.50
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.3% 1.63 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 53.8% 1.86 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 60.1% 1.67 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2IF Brommapojkarna38.7%
Draw28.1%
Mjallby AIF33.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.7%
Under 2.561.3%
Both teams to scoreYes46.2%
No53.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.8%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)61.3%
Handicap -1IF Brommapojkarna win18.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss60.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-012.0%
1-011.8%

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF stats

IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF season so far

league record

IF Brommapojkarna record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.

Mjallby AIF record

  • They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0IF Brommapojkarna wins 0Draws 3Mjallby AIF wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Mjallby AIFIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan3-0
2025-09-28IF BrommapojkarnaMjallby AIFAllsvenskan0-1
2025-05-19Mjallby AIFIF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 27.1%, away 34.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.44 3.44 2.67
Bet365 2.50 3.50 2.62
BetVictor 2.38 3.40 2.60
Betano 2.42 3.40 2.75
Betfair 2.40 3.50 2.70
Dafabet 2.47 3.55 2.75
Marathonbet 2.44 3.44 2.67
Pinnacle 2.45 3.46 2.79
SBO 2.27 3.12 2.56
William Hill 2.38 3.25 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.43 β–Ό -0.22
X 3.44 β–Ό -0.06
2 2.69 β–² +0.31

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 IF Brommapojkarna Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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