Vasteras SK FK
vs
IF Brommapojkarna
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vasteras SK FK
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.23.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Vasteras SK FK is the favourite, not a value bet.
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna
| Probability | Vasteras SK FK | Draw | IF Brommapojkarna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.6% | 26.1% | 26.3% |
| Market | 49.3% | 24.8% | 25.9% |
| Final | 48.9% | 25.1% | 26.0% |
| Edge | -0.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
Why Vasteras SK FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 1.23.
Best available price on the pick: 1.89, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (our 48.9% × 1.89 − 1).
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna match preview
Vasteras SK FK faces IF Brommapojkarna in an Allsvenskan match with Vasteras SK FK holding a 48% probability of winning, while both teams share a 26% chance for a draw or an away victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expectation for over 2.5 goals stands at 56%, and both teams scoring is projected at 59%.
Recent form shows Vasteras SK FK with a mixed record of L-W-L-W-W-L, while IF Brommapojkarna has a slightly better recent performance at W-L-W-L-L-W. Expected goals are calculated at 1.71 for Vasteras SK FK and 1.22 for IF Brommapojkarna. In their last encounter, Vasteras SK FK secured a win, contributing to their overall head-to-head record of 1 win for Vasteras SK FK and 0 for IF Brommapojkarna.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vasteras SK FK and IF Brommapojkarna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
Vasteras SK FK and IF Brommapojkarna attack and defence ratings
Vasteras SK FK
IF Brommapojkarna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasteras SK FK | 48.9% | 2.05 | -0.4% | 1.89 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vasteras SK FK | 48.9% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| IF Brommapojkarna | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.9% |
| No | 41.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vasteras SK FK win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 52.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.0% |
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna stats
Vasteras SK FK and IF Brommapojkarna recent form
| Vasteras SK FK |
LWLWWL |
| IF Brommapojkarna |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vasteras SK FK and IF Brommapojkarna season so far
Vasteras SK FK record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
IF Brommapojkarna record
- They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | IF Brommapojkarna | Vasteras SK FK | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vasteras SK FK vs IF Brommapojkarna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 24.8%, away 25.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.75 | 3.60 |