Gais
vs
AIK Stockholm
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gais
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.50.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Gais is the favourite, not a value bet.
Gais vs AIK Stockholm overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gais vs AIK Stockholm
| Probability | Gais | Draw | AIK Stockholm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.2% | 23.5% | 28.3% |
| Market | 51.7% | 24.5% | 23.8% |
| Final | 50.8% | 24.2% | 25.0% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.2% | +1.1% |
Why Gais
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.50.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.0% per unit staked (our 50.8% × 1.83 − 1).
Gais vs AIK Stockholm match preview
Gais and AIK Stockholm are set to clash in the Allsvenskan, with Gais holding a 45% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Gais stand at 2.00, while AIK Stockholm is projected to score 1.66. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Gais, with a 9% chance of occurring. Both teams are expected to score, as indicated by a 71% probability for both teams to find the net.
Recent form shows Gais with a mixed record of D-L-L-W-L-D, while AIK Stockholm has struggled, recording W-D-L-L-D-L. In their last four encounters, Gais has secured 1 win, 1 draw, and AIK Stockholm has achieved 2 wins. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, suggesting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gais and AIK Stockholm expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
Gais and AIK Stockholm attack and defence ratings
Gais
AIK Stockholm
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gais vs AIK Stockholm markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gais | 50.8% | 1.97 | -0.9% | 1.83 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gais | 50.8% |
| Draw | 24.2% | |
| AIK Stockholm | 25.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% |
| No | 32.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gais win | 28.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 51.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 6.8% |
Gais vs AIK Stockholm stats
Gais and AIK Stockholm recent form
| Gais |
WDLLWL |
| AIK Stockholm |
DWDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gais and AIK Stockholm season so far
Gais record
- They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AIK Stockholm record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gais vs AIK Stockholm head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | AIK Stockholm | Gais | Allsvenskan | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Gais | AIK Stockholm | Svenska Cupen | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | AIK Stockholm | Gais | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-31 | Gais | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gais vs AIK Stockholm odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.7%, draw 24.5%, away 23.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 3.82 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.70 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.75 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.70 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 3.82 | 3.92 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.96 | 4.05 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .