Mjallby AIF
vs
Kalmar FF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mjallby AIF
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Mjallby AIF is the favourite, not a value bet.
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF
| Probability | Mjallby AIF | Draw | Kalmar FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.2% | 33.2% | 28.6% |
| Market | 39.0% | 28.1% | 32.8% |
| Final | 38.8% | 29.4% | 31.8% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +1.3% | -1.0% |
Why Mjallby AIF
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.1% per unit staked (our 38.8% × 2.42 − 1).
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF match preview
Mjallby AIF hosts Kalmar FF in an Allsvenskan clash with both teams showing mixed recent form. Mjallby AIF has recorded a sequence of L-D-L-W-D-L, while Kalmar FF has struggled significantly, losing their last six matches. The model indicates a close contest, assigning Mjallby AIF a 35% chance of winning, with a draw at 33% and Kalmar FF at 32%.
The expected goals are marginally in favor of Mjallby AIF at 1.08 compared to Kalmar FF's 1.03. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, predicted at 12%. Both teams have a 44% chance of scoring, and there is a 35% probability of the match featuring over 2.5 goals. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mjallby AIF and Kalmar FF expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.02
Mjallby AIF and Kalmar FF attack and defence ratings
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 38.8% | 2.58 | -0.2% | 2.42 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mjallby AIF | 38.8% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Kalmar FF | 31.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mjallby AIF win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 61.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.6% | |
| 1-0 | 13.3% |
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF stats
Mjallby AIF and Kalmar FF recent form
| Mjallby AIF |
WLDLWD |
| Kalmar FF |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mjallby AIF and Kalmar FF season so far
Mjallby AIF record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kalmar FF record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 25 matches.
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Kalmar FF | Mjallby AIF | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Mjallby AIF | Kalmar FF | Svenska Cupen | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mjallby AIF vs Kalmar FF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 28.1%, away 32.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.35 | 2.84 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.87 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 3.35 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.38 | 2.92 |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .