IF Elfsborg
vs
Orgryte IS
Garuda Lions Prediction: IF Elfsborg
2 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.95.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — IF Elfsborg is the favourite, not a value bet.
IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS
| Probability | IF Elfsborg | Draw | Orgryte IS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.9% | 19.9% | 13.2% |
| Market | 67.0% | 19.8% | 13.2% |
| Final | 67.0% | 19.8% | 13.2% |
| Edge | -0.0% | +0.0% | -0.0% |
Why IF Elfsborg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.9% per unit staked (our 67.0% × 1.39 − 1).
IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS match preview
In the upcoming Allsvenskan match, IF Elfsborg faces Orgryte IS with a strong probability of victory for the home side at 67%. The expected goals for IF Elfsborg stand at 2.31, while Orgryte IS is projected at 0.95. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 10% likelihood.
Recent form shows IF Elfsborg with two wins and a draw in their last five matches, while Orgryte IS has struggled, managing only one win in the same period. The probabilities indicate a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance that both teams will score. In their last head-to-head encounter, the teams drew, with IF Elfsborg having no wins against Orgryte IS.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IF Elfsborg and Orgryte IS expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
IF Elfsborg and Orgryte IS attack and defence ratings
IF Elfsborg
Orgryte IS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Elfsborg | 67.0% | 1.49 | -0.0% | 1.39 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | IF Elfsborg win | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IF Elfsborg | 67.0% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| Orgryte IS | 13.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% |
| No | 44.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | IF Elfsborg win | 44.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 33.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-1 | 9.3% |
IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS stats
IF Elfsborg and Orgryte IS recent form
| IF Elfsborg |
DDWWWL |
| Orgryte IS |
DWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IF Elfsborg and Orgryte IS season so far
IF Elfsborg record
- They have won 11 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orgryte IS record
- They have won 4 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Orgryte IS | IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.0%, draw 19.8%, away 13.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.39 | 4.70 | 7.03 |