AIK Stockholm
vs
BK Hacken
Garuda Lions Prediction: BK Hacken
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.89.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — BK Hacken is the favourite, not a value bet.
AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken
| Probability | AIK Stockholm | Draw | BK Hacken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.8% | 22.7% | 62.5% |
| Market | 22.0% | 23.0% | 54.9% |
| Final | 20.2% | 23.0% | 56.8% |
| Edge | -1.8% | -0.1% | +1.9% |
Why BK Hacken
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.75, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.6% per unit staked (our 56.8% × 1.75 − 1).
AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken match preview
AIK Stockholm faces BK Hacken in an Allsvenskan match with a kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, AIK Stockholm has a 16% chance of winning, while BK Hacken is favored at 61%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, occurring with a 10% probability. Both teams are anticipated to score, with a 55% chance, and there is a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Recent form shows AIK Stockholm with a record of D-W-D-L-L-D, while BK Hacken is performing strongly with D-W-W-W-W-D. In their last four encounters, AIK Stockholm has one win, three draws, and BK Hacken has not secured a victory. The expected goals for AIK Stockholm stand at 0.98, compared to BK Hacken's 2.06, indicating a potential challenge for the home side.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AIK Stockholm and BK Hacken expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.89
AIK Stockholm and BK Hacken attack and defence ratings
AIK Stockholm
BK Hacken
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | BK Hacken | 56.8% | 1.76 | +1.9% | 1.75 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | BK Hacken win | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AIK Stockholm | 20.2% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| BK Hacken | 56.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.9% |
| No | 48.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | BK Hacken win | 39.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 37.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.2% |
| 1-1 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.1% |
AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken stats
AIK Stockholm and BK Hacken recent form
| AIK Stockholm |
LDWDLL |
| BK Hacken |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AIK Stockholm and BK Hacken season so far
AIK Stockholm record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
BK Hacken record
- They have won 12 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | BK Hacken | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-09 | AIK Stockholm | BK Hacken | Svenska Cupen | 4-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | AIK Stockholm | BK Hacken | Allsvenskan | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-14 | BK Hacken | AIK Stockholm | Allsvenskan | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AIK Stockholm vs BK Hacken odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.0%, draw 23.0%, away 54.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.22 | 4.15 | 1.69 |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.73 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.25 | 3.90 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 4.10 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 4.30 | 4.10 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 4.25 | 4.15 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | 4.30 | 4.17 | 1.70 |
| SBO | 3.77 | 3.57 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .