IFK Goteborg
vs
Djurgardens IF
Garuda Lions Prediction: Djurgardens IF
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Djurgardens IF is the favourite, not a value bet.
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF
| Probability | IFK Goteborg | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.9% | 29.7% | 41.4% |
| Market | 29.5% | 25.0% | 45.5% |
| Final | 29.3% | 26.2% | 44.5% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +1.2% | -1.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.06, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.3% per unit staked (our 44.5% × 2.06 − 1).
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF match preview
In the upcoming Allsvenskan match, IFK Goteborg will face Djurgardens IF, with kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Djurgardens IF holds a 48% probability of winning, while IFK Goteborg has a 23% chance, and a draw is at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 0.93 for IFK Goteborg and 1.44 for Djurgardens IF.
Both teams have shown strong recent form, with IFK Goteborg going undefeated in their last six matches, while Djurgardens IF has won five of their last six. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Djurgardens IF has secured two victories and one draw against IFK Goteborg. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42%, and both teams scoring stands at 48%.
IFK Goteborg and Djurgardens IF team news
IFK Goteborg news
- A. Bergmark-Wiberg — inactive
- A. Erlingmark — inactive
- A. Jallow — muscle injury
- A. Mucolli — knee injury
- R. Lundqvist — inactive
Djurgardens IF news
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IFK Goteborg and Djurgardens IF expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.44
IFK Goteborg and Djurgardens IF attack and defence ratings
IFK Goteborg
Djurgardens IF
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Djurgardens IF | 44.5% | 2.25 | -1.0% | 2.06 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IFK Goteborg | 29.3% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Djurgardens IF | 44.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Djurgardens IF win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | |
| 0-0 | 10.0% |
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF stats
IFK Goteborg and Djurgardens IF recent form
| IFK Goteborg |
DDWWWW |
| Djurgardens IF |
DWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IFK Goteborg and Djurgardens IF season so far
IFK Goteborg record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Djurgardens IF record
- They have won 15 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Djurgardens IF | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 6-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Djurgardens IF | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-12 | IFK Goteborg | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-02 | Djurgardens IF | IFK Goteborg | Svenska Cupen | 3-4 |
| 2024-08-04 | Djurgardens IF | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-01 | IFK Goteborg | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan | 1-4 |
| 2024-03-03 | Djurgardens IF | IFK Goteborg | Svenska Cupen | 3-0 |
| 2023-08-13 | IFK Goteborg | Djurgardens IF | Allsvenskan | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-23 | Djurgardens IF | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-18 | Djurgardens IF | IFK Goteborg | Allsvenskan | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
IFK Goteborg vs Djurgardens IF odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.5%, draw 25.0%, away 45.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.16 | 3.72 | 2.06 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.85 | 2.02 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 3.16 | 3.72 | 2.04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.34 | 3.90 | 1.98 |
| SBO | 3.01 | 3.34 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .