1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 3

Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor

2 – 3 Full time

Corendon Airlines Park, AntalyaReferee: Yusuf Adnan Kendirciler, Türkiye

Antalyaspor 42%
Draw 27%
Pendikspor 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAntalyasporDrawPendikspor
Model40.5%26.6%32.9%
Market42.4%27.3%30.3%
Final41.9%27.1%31.0%
Edge-1.9%-0.7%+2.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Antalyaspor

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Antalyaspor ↓ / Pendikspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 7% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Antalyaspor and Pendikspor expected goals

Antalyaspor 1.57
Pendikspor 1.40

Total expected goals: 2.97

Antalyaspor and Pendikspor attack and defence ratings

Antalyaspor

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Pendikspor

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor: result vs prediction

Antalyaspor 2 – 3 Pendikspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Antalyaspor 41.9% 2.39 -1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57.0% 1.75 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.8% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.9% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Antalyaspor41.9%
Draw27.1%
Pendikspor31.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.557.0%
Under 2.543.0%
Both teams to scoreYes60.8%
No39.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.0%
12 (either side)72.9%
X2 (draw or away)58.1%
Handicap -1Antalyaspor win20.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
2-18.9%
1-27.9%

Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor stats

Antalyaspor and Pendikspor recent form

newest first
Antalyaspor LWWLDL
Pendikspor LDLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Antalyaspor and Pendikspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Antalyaspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Pendikspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Antalyaspor vs Pendikspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 27.2%, away 30.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.25 3.40 2.80
1xBet 2.11 3.42 3.00
Bet365 2.10 3.10 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.25 3.10
Betano 2.22 3.35 3.05
Betfair 2.10 3.30 3.00
Dafabet 2.34 3.40 2.90
Marathonbet 2.09 3.42 2.94
Pinnacle 2.17 3.71 3.13
SBO 2.14 3.04 2.81
Superbet 2.25 3.30 3.00
Unibet 2.14 3.35 2.85
William Hill 2.30 3.25 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.09
X 3.33 ▲ +0.03
2 3.00 ▲ +0.10

2 snapshots recorded, from .