Bandırmaspor
vs
Keçiörengücü
1 – 1 Full time
Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü
| Probability | Bandırmaspor | Draw | Keçiörengücü |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.4% | 33.6% | 19.1% |
| Market | 36.2% | 29.7% | 34.1% |
| Final | 39.0% | 30.7% | 30.3% |
| Edge | +11.1% | +3.9% | -15.0% |
Why Bandırmaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.64.
- The market prices Bandırmaspor below the model: +11.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bandırmaspor and Keçiörengücü expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
Bandırmaspor and Keçiörengücü attack and defence ratings
Bandırmaspor
Keçiörengücü
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü: result vs prediction
Bandırmaspor 1 – 1 Keçiörengücü
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Fatih Karagümrük v Bursaspor — match page
- Ümraniyespor vs Esenler Erokspor — team news & stats
- Iğdır FK vs Kayserispor
- Antalyaspor v Pendikspor — match page
- Bodrum FK vs Muğlaspor — team news & stats
- Boluspor v Mardin 1969 — match page
- Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor — team news & stats
- Vanspor FK vs İstanbulspor
Before and after this match
Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 39.0% | 2.56 | +11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 39.0% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Keçiörengücü | 30.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.9% |
| No | 66.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bandırmaspor win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 52.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.9% |
| 0-0 | 17.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.5% |
Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü stats
Bandırmaspor and Keçiörengücü recent form
| Bandırmaspor |
DWWDWD |
| Keçiörengücü |
WLLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bandırmaspor and Keçiörengücü going into this match
Bandırmaspor record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Keçiörengücü record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | Keçiörengücü | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Bandırmaspor | Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bandırmaspor vs Keçiörengücü odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.1%, draw 30.0%, away 33.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 2.99 | 2.66 |
| 888Sport | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.65 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.15 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.50 | 2.99 | 2.66 |
| Pinnacle | 2.63 | 3.19 | 2.81 |
| SBO | 2.38 | 2.98 | 2.53 |
| Superbet | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.67 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 2.85 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .