1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 3

Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor

1 – 2 Full time

Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, IstanbulReferee: Birkan Altindas, Türkiye

Sarıyer 40%
Draw 29%
Batman Petrolspor 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySarıyerDrawBatman Petrolspor
Model53.2%28.2%18.6%
Market35.1%29.0%35.9%
Final39.6%28.8%31.6%
Edge+18.2%-0.8%-17.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Sarıyer

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sarıyer below the model: +18.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sarıyer ↓ / Batman Petrols → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 14% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Sarıyer and Batman Petrolspor expected goals

Sarıyer 1.53
Batman Petrolspor 0.81

Total expected goals: 2.34

Sarıyer and Batman Petrolspor attack and defence ratings

Sarıyer

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Batman Petrolspor

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor: result vs prediction

Sarıyer 1 – 2 Batman Petrolspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sarıyer 39.6% 2.52 +18.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 55.4% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.2% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.9% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sarıyer39.6%
Draw28.8%
Batman Petrolspor31.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
Both teams to scoreYes44.6%
No55.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.4%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)60.4%
Handicap -1Sarıyer win28.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.8%
Loss46.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.6%
1-113.1%
2-011.3%

Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor stats

Sarıyer and Batman Petrolspor recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sarıyer and Batman Petrolspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sarıyer record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Batman Petrolspor record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.1%, draw 29.0%, away 35.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.54 3.12 2.53
Bet365 2.55 3.00 2.55
BetVictor 2.60 3.13 2.55
Betano 2.70 3.15 2.55
Betfair 2.55 3.25 2.50
Dafabet 2.70 3.20 2.60
Marathonbet 2.54 3.12 2.53
Pinnacle 2.63 3.41 2.66
SBO 2.49 2.95 2.44
Superbet 2.67 3.15 2.57
Unibet 2.70 2.90 2.45
William Hill 2.60 3.20 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▼ -0.12
X 3.14 ▼ -0.26
2 2.54 ▲ +0.14

4 snapshots recorded, from .