1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 4

Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor

2 – 1 Full time

16 Mayis Sehir Stadyumu, BatmanReferee: Direnc Tonusluoglu, Türkiye

Batman Petrolspor 46%
Draw 27%
Sivasspor 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBatman PetrolsporDrawSivasspor
Model59.9%24.3%15.8%
Market41.2%28.2%30.6%
Final45.8%27.3%26.9%
Edge+18.7%-3.9%-14.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Batman Petrolspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.86.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 3 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Batman Petrolspor below the model: +18.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Batman Petrols ↓ / Sivasspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Batman Petrolspor and Sivasspor expected goals

Batman Petrolspor 1.85
Sivasspor 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.71

Batman Petrolspor and Sivasspor attack and defence ratings

Batman Petrolspor

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Sivasspor

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor: result vs prediction

Batman Petrolspor 2 – 1 Sivasspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Batman Petrolspor 45.8% 2.18 +18.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score No 50.3% 1.99 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.2% 2.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Batman Petrolspor45.8%
Draw27.3%
Sivasspor26.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.0%
Under 2.549.0%
Both teams to scoreYes49.7%
No50.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.1%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)54.2%
Handicap -1Batman Petrolspor win35.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss40.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-011.4%
1-011.2%

Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor stats

Batman Petrolspor and Sivasspor recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Batman Petrolspor and Sivasspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Batman Petrolspor record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Sivasspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Batman Petrolspor vs Sivasspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 28.2%, away 30.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.22 3.22 2.96
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.00
BetVictor 2.25 3.25 2.90
Betano 2.27 3.25 3.05
Betfair 2.15 3.30 2.90
Dafabet 2.23 3.30 3.05
Marathonbet 2.20 3.22 2.90
Pinnacle 2.29 3.37 3.01
SBO 2.17 2.97 2.67
Superbet 2.25 3.25 3.05
William Hill 2.25 3.20 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.23 —
X 3.25 —
2 3.00 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .