Mardin 1969
vs
Vanspor FK
1 – 1 Full time
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK
| Probability | Mardin 1969 | Draw | Vanspor FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.4% | 17.9% | 8.6% |
| Market | 61.1% | 23.5% | 15.4% |
| Final | 64.2% | 22.1% | 13.7% |
| Edge | +12.3% | -5.6% | -6.8% |
Why Mardin 1969
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 0.71.
- The market prices Mardin 1969 below the model: +12.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mardin 1969 and Vanspor FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.07
Mardin 1969 and Vanspor FK attack and defence ratings
Mardin 1969
Vanspor FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK: result vs prediction
Mardin 1969 1 – 1 Vanspor FK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mardin 1969 | 64.2% | 1.56 | +12.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Mardin 1969 win | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mardin 1969 | 64.2% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Vanspor FK | 13.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mardin 1969 win | 51.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 26.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 3-0 | 10.2% |
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK stats
Mardin 1969 and Vanspor FK recent form
| Mardin 1969 |
WWD |
| Vanspor FK |
WLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Mardin 1969 and Vanspor FK going into this match
Mardin 1969 record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Vanspor FK record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Mardin 1969 vs Vanspor FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.1%, draw 23.5%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 3.90 | 6.13 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.70 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.00 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 3.90 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.51 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 3.90 | 5.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 4.12 | 6.01 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 3.52 | 5.03 |
| Superbet | 1.52 | 4.00 | 5.65 |
| Unibet | 1.53 | 3.85 | 4.90 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .