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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969

2 – 2 Full time

4′Kamil Fidan
35′T. Teklic
37′Baba Alhassan
45′O. Kayode
46′C. CelikM. Paluli
46′M. CelikB. Kapacak
59′K. FidanC. Charisis
59′V. EthemiC. Yilmaz
60′Eray Korkmaz
62′R. Manaj
67′Musah Mohammed
71′R. Manaj
77′T. TeklicA. Kabak
77′D. TaskanM. Wilks
86′SivassporS. Kavrazli
87′D. DenicB. Balat
90′Adem Eren Kabak
90′O. KayodeA. Uluk

Yeni Sivas 4 Eylül Stadyumu, SivasReferee: Muhammetali Metoglu, Türkiye

Sivasspor 37%
Draw 29%
Mardin 1969 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 4
55 Possession % 45
2 Corners 6
20 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
280 Accurate passes 223

Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySivassporDrawMardin 1969
Model21.5%31.1%47.4%
Market41.6%28.6%29.8%
Final36.6%29.2%34.2%
Edge-20.1%+2.5%+17.6%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sivasspor ↓ / Mardin 1969 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 15% 10% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

Sivasspor and Mardin 1969 expected goals

Sivasspor 0.80
Mardin 1969 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.11

Sivasspor and Mardin 1969 attack and defence ratings

Sivasspor

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Mardin 1969

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969: result vs prediction

Sivasspor 2 – 2 Mardin 1969

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sivasspor 36.6% 2.73 -20.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.7% 1.55 — —
Both teams to score No 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.8% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 78.5% 1.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sivasspor36.6%
Draw29.2%
Mardin 196934.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.3%
Under 2.564.7%
Both teams to scoreYes41.5%
No58.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.8%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)63.4%
Handicap -1Sivasspor win7.1%
Push (exactly one goal)14.5%
Loss78.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-114.6%
1-114.0%
0-013.4%

Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969 stats

Sivasspor and Mardin 1969 recent form

newest first
Sivasspor LDLDLW
Mardin 1969 DWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sivasspor and Mardin 1969 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sivasspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mardin 1969 record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969 head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sivasspor vs Mardin 1969 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 28.6%, away 29.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.20 3.20 3.00
1xBet 2.19 3.12 3.10
Bet365 2.15 3.10 3.10
BetVictor 2.15 3.25 3.13
Betano 2.30 3.25 3.00
Betfair 2.20 3.25 2.88
Dafabet 2.26 3.25 3.15
Marathonbet 2.22 3.12 2.95
Pinnacle 2.34 3.38 3.07
SBO 2.16 2.99 2.83
Superbet 2.25 3.20 3.10
Unibet 2.16 3.10 3.00
William Hill 2.20 3.10 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.14
X 3.20 ▼ -0.05
2 3.07 ▲ +0.19

9 snapshots recorded, from .