1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Bandırmaspor vs Antalyaspor

0 – 1 Full time

5′S. Dikmen
56′Enes Aydin
57′F. NzabaV. Sari
59′Ali Ülgen
60′D. SeckR. Mulumba
60′M. GumuskayaE. Cinemre
67′A. SagatN. Storm
67′Y. IlcinD. Sinik
75′G. BrunoR. Dilek
75′T. KehindeA. Badji
83′K. DonertasE. Acar
88′S. van de StreekO. Beyaz
90′Lucas Lima
90′Remi Mulumba
90′Dean Lico
90′Soner Dikmen

17 Eylül Stadyumu, BalikesirReferee: Burak Olcar, Türkiye

Bandırmaspor 44%
Draw 28%
Antalyaspor 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
65 Possession % 35
7 Corners 1
15 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 5
2 Saves 4
434 Accurate passes 181

Bandırmaspor vs Antalyaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bandırmaspor vs Antalyaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBandırmasporDrawAntalyaspor
Model64.4%25.6%10.0%
Market36.9%28.9%34.1%
Final43.8%28.1%28.1%
Edge+27.5%-3.3%-24.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Bandırmaspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.50.
  • The market prices Bandırmaspor below the model: +27.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bandırmaspor ↓ / Antalyaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 18% 11% 2 16% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Bandırmaspor and Antalyaspor expected goals

Bandırmaspor 1.64
Antalyaspor 0.50

Total expected goals: 2.14

Bandırmaspor and Antalyaspor attack and defence ratings

Bandırmaspor

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.45 -55%

Antalyaspor

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bandırmaspor vs Antalyaspor: result vs prediction

Bandırmaspor 0 – 1 Antalyaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Bandırmaspor vs Antalyaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bandırmaspor 43.8% 2.28 +27.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score No 67.3% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Bandırmaspor win 37.0% 2.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bandırmaspor43.8%
Draw28.1%
Antalyaspor28.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.0%
Under 2.564.0%
Both teams to scoreYes32.7%
No67.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.9%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)56.2%
Handicap -1Bandırmaspor win37.0%
Push (exactly one goal)27.4%
Loss35.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-018.3%
2-015.8%
0-012.8%

Bandırmaspor vs Antalyaspor stats

Bandırmaspor and Antalyaspor recent form

newest first
Bandırmaspor DDDWWD
Antalyaspor LLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bandırmaspor and Antalyaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bandırmaspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Antalyaspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bandırmaspor vs Antalyaspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Bandırmaspor vs Antalyaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.9%, draw 28.9%, away 34.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.50 3.20 2.62
1xBet 2.40 3.14 2.66
Bet365 2.38 3.10 2.60
BetVictor 2.45 3.13 2.70
Betano 2.55 3.20 2.67
Betfair 2.40 3.10 2.63
Dafabet 2.55 3.25 2.70
Marathonbet 2.40 3.14 2.66
Pinnacle 2.52 3.34 2.83
SBO 2.46 2.91 2.49
Superbet 2.55 3.15 2.67
Unibet 2.55 3.00 2.55
William Hill 2.45 3.10 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.46 ▼ -0.09
X 3.14 ▼ -0.16
2 2.66 ▲ +0.11

6 snapshots recorded, from .