1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor

4 – 0 Full time

19′Phellipe Cardoso Araújo
20′Barış Kanbak
21′Zeki Yavru
29′Abdullah Dijlan Aydin
32′Halil Akbunar
45′Kelechi Iheanacho
56′Alp Tutar
56′Batuhan Yayikci
58′Halil Akbunar
59′Yusuf Ozer
62′Amine BoutrahHüseyin Maldar
64′Ilian IlievVefa Temel
64′Abdullah Dijlan AydinMustafa Sol
67′Duran Şahin
70′B. GökTural Bayramov
70′Juergen ElitimSoner Aydoğdu
76′Berk Ali NizamEssap Njie
77′Kelechi Iheanacho
79′Halil AkbunarEmir Kaan Gultekin
79′Eyüp AkcanLewis Baker
81′Yusuf OzerTuran Deni̇z Tuncer
81′Umut İslamoğluEnver Azmi Sarıalioğlu

Timsah Arena, BursaReferee: Ayberk Demirbas, Türkiye

Bursaspor 63%
Draw 21%
İstanbulspor 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
67 Possession % 33
8 Corners 1
9 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
1 Saves 3
532 Accurate passes 208

Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBursasporDrawİstanbulspor
Model50.9%24.4%24.8%
Market67.0%19.6%13.4%
Final63.0%20.8%16.2%
Edge-16.1%+4.8%+11.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Bursaspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 4 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bursaspor ↓ / İstanbulspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Bursaspor and İstanbulspor expected goals

Bursaspor 1.90
İstanbulspor 1.28

Total expected goals: 3.18

Bursaspor and İstanbulspor attack and defence ratings

Bursaspor

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.81 -19%

İstanbulspor

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor: result vs prediction

Bursaspor 4 – 0 İstanbulspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bursaspor 63.0% 1.59 -16.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.6% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.5% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.8% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.1% 2.04 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bursaspor63.0%
Draw20.8%
İstanbulspor16.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.6%
Under 2.538.4%
Both teams to scoreYes62.5%
No37.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.8%
12 (either side)79.2%
X2 (draw or away)37.0%
Handicap -1Bursaspor win29.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss49.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.6%
2-07.5%

Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor stats

Bursaspor and İstanbulspor recent form

newest first
Bursaspor WLWW
İstanbulspor DLDLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Bursaspor and İstanbulspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bursaspor record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

İstanbulspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1Bursaspor wins 2Draws 3İstanbulspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-04-15İstanbulsporBursaspor1. Lig3-1
2021-11-20Bursasporİstanbulspor1. Lig2-4
2021-04-25Bursasporİstanbulspor1. Lig1-2
2020-12-20İstanbulsporBursaspor1. Lig3-3
2020-03-07Bursasporİstanbulspor1. Lig1-1
2019-10-26İstanbulsporBursaspor1. Lig1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 67.0%, draw 19.6%, away 13.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.36 4.40 7.00
1xBet 1.34 4.70 7.11
Bet365 1.38 4.75 6.00
BetVictor 1.36 4.60 7.00
Betano 1.42 4.55 6.40
Betfair 1.30 4.75 7.00
Dafabet 1.40 4.80 6.80
Marathonbet 1.33 4.65 6.95
Pinnacle 1.37 5.18 7.56
SBO 1.34 3.98 5.99
Superbet 1.39 4.65 6.50
Unibet 1.40 4.25 6.10
William Hill 1.36 4.60 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 ▼ -0.03
X 4.65 ▲ +0.22
2 6.80 ▲ +0.28

9 snapshots recorded, from .