1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 5

Sarıyer vs Pendikspor

2 – 0 Full time

13′Cebrail Karayel
14′Mesut Özdemir
45′Marcos Silva
49′Furkan Dogan
60′Y. SonmezM. Susak
62′H. E. YesilyurtD. Davas
62′A. PokoT. Ergul
62′B. AliciF. Gedik
66′E. Korkmazoglu
72′T. Ergul
73′Rogerio ThuramJ. Clarke-Harris
86′E. KaracaY. Sen
87′B. KorM. Thiam
90′M. OzdemirB. Gultekin
90′H. YesilO. Cakiroglu
90′B. KaradenizI. Manga

Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadium, IstanbulReferee: Emrullah Baydar, Türkiye

Sarıyer 43%
Draw 28%
Pendikspor 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 0
54 Possession % 46
1 Corners 3
10 Fouls 6
0 Offsides 2
0 Saves 1
448 Accurate passes 379

Sarıyer vs Pendikspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sarıyer vs Pendikspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySarıyerDrawPendikspor
Model57.5%25.4%17.1%
Market37.7%29.2%33.1%
Final42.6%28.3%29.1%
Edge+19.8%-3.8%-16.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Sarıyer

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Sarıyer below the model: +19.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sarıyer ↓ / Pendikspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Sarıyer and Pendikspor expected goals

Sarıyer 1.76
Pendikspor 0.87

Total expected goals: 2.63

Sarıyer and Pendikspor attack and defence ratings

Sarıyer

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Pendikspor

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sarıyer vs Pendikspor: result vs prediction

Sarıyer 2 – 0 Pendikspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Sarıyer vs Pendikspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sarıyer 42.6% 2.35 +19.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.2% 1.95 — —
Both teams to score No 50.9% 1.96 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.5% 2.35 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sarıyer42.6%
Draw28.3%
Pendikspor29.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.8%
Under 2.551.2%
Both teams to scoreYes49.1%
No50.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.9%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1Sarıyer win33.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss42.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.1%
1-011.6%
2-011.2%

Sarıyer vs Pendikspor stats

Sarıyer and Pendikspor recent form

newest first
Sarıyer WLDWWW
Pendikspor DWLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sarıyer and Pendikspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sarıyer record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Pendikspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

Sarıyer vs Pendikspor head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Sarıyer wins 0Draws 4Pendikspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-15PendiksporSarıyer1. Lig2-0
2025-09-21SarıyerPendikspor1. Lig0-2
2020-01-11SarıyerPendikspor2. Lig2-0
2019-09-01PendiksporSarıyer2. Lig0-1
2016-01-24PendiksporSarıyer2. Lig0-1
2015-09-13SarıyerPendikspor2. Lig1-0
2014-03-29SarıyerPendikspor2. Lig0-2
2013-11-10PendiksporSarıyer2. Lig2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sarıyer vs Pendikspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.7%, draw 29.2%, away 33.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.35 3.20 2.80
1xBet 2.39 3.12 2.69
Bet365 2.45 3.10 2.70
BetVictor 2.45 3.10 2.75
Betano 2.42 3.15 2.85
Betfair 2.30 3.25 2.75
Dafabet 2.44 3.25 2.85
Marathonbet 2.39 3.12 2.69
Pinnacle 2.52 3.31 2.85
SBO 2.32 2.95 2.63
Superbet 2.42 3.15 2.82
Unibet 2.45 3.05 2.60
William Hill 2.45 3.10 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.42 ▼ -0.02
X 3.12 ▼ -0.13
2 2.75 ▲ +0.05

7 snapshots recorded, from .