1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer

3 – 0 Full time

16′İbrahim Akdağ
38′I. Akdag
59′B. KorE. Eze
60′D. DavasJ. Attamah
60′T. ErgulA. Poko
60′B. AliciF. Gedik
63′F. Ezeh
75′H. AyanE. Yilmaz
75′O. RoshiA. Edumondo
81′Francis Ezeh
82′F. EzehE. Develi
82′C. KarayelM. Thiam
84′E. Yilmaz
88′I. AkdagO. Ayaydin
88′M. DioufH. Nabian

Aktepe Stadium, AnkaraReferee: Omer Faruk Gultekin, Türkiye

Keçiörengücü 43%
Draw 28%
Sarıyer 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
39 Possession % 61
5 Corners 4
16 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 3
1 Saves 3
254 Accurate passes 420

Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKeçiörengücüDrawSarıyer
Model44.0%28.9%27.0%
Market42.6%27.9%29.5%
Final42.9%28.2%28.9%
Edge+1.5%+1.0%-2.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Keçiörengücü

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.43 vs 1.07.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Keçiörengücü ↓ / Sarıyer → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 10% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Keçiörengücü and Sarıyer expected goals

Keçiörengücü 1.43
Sarıyer 1.07

Total expected goals: 2.51

Keçiörengücü and Sarıyer attack and defence ratings

Keçiörengücü

Attack 1.32 +32%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Sarıyer

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer: result vs prediction

Keçiörengücü 3 – 0 Sarıyer

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Keçiörengücü 42.9% 2.33 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.2% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.0% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Keçiörengücü42.9%
Draw28.2%
Sarıyer28.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.8%
Under 2.554.2%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.1%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.1%
Handicap -1Keçiörengücü win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss56.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-010.4%
0-09.4%

Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer stats

Keçiörengücü and Sarıyer recent form

newest first
Keçiörengücü WDDWLL
Sarıyer WWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Keçiörengücü and Sarıyer going into this match

league record before kick-off

Keçiörengücü record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sarıyer record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Keçiörengücü wins 0Draws 2Sarıyer wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15SarıyerKeçiörengücü1. Lig3-1
2025-11-01KeçiörengücüSarıyer1. Lig3-0
2019-04-14SarıyerKeçiörengücü2. Lig1-0
2018-11-24KeçiörengücüSarıyer2. Lig3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.6%, draw 27.8%, away 29.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.12 3.25 3.12
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.30 3.10
Betano 2.22 3.30 3.05
Betfair 2.10 3.40 3.00
Dafabet 2.20 3.35 3.05
Marathonbet 2.08 3.25 3.10
Pinnacle 2.23 3.49 3.17
Unibet 1.97 3.20 3.35
William Hill 2.15 3.30 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.19
X 3.27 ▼ -0.12
2 3.10 ▼ -0.48

10 snapshots recorded, from .