Muğlaspor
vs
Vanspor FK
2 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | J. Bardhi | ||
| 34′ | Yiğit Fidan | ||
| 39′ | Y. Uzunoglu | ||
| 43′ | Bilal Ceylan | ||
| 55′ | J. Bardhi | ||
| 60′ | İlkan Sever | ||
| 61′ | I. SeverO. Kokcu | ||
| 66′ | A. BarakO. Matur | ||
| 66′ | P. YildirimD. Camaj | ||
| 66′ | B. BulutI. Sissoko | ||
| 71′ | Mehmet Özcan | ||
| 72′ | M. OzcanH. Ciftci | ||
| 73′ | M. ManisC. Hanalp | ||
| 75′ | B. CeylanA. Engin | ||
| 78′ | Jurgen Çelhaka | ||
| 78′ | M. DiarraK. Osundina | ||
| 78′ | T. YenneF. Ozhan | ||
| 79′ | I. AlhaftK. Seven | ||
| 83′ | Luis Mago | ||
| 89′ | K. Osundina | ||
| 90′ | Faruk Can Genç |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 9 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 321 | Accurate passes | 282 |
Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK
| Probability | Muğlaspor | Draw | Vanspor FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.8% | 27.9% | 14.3% |
| Market | 49.5% | 28.0% | 22.5% |
| Final | 51.6% | 28.0% | 20.4% |
| Edge | +8.3% | -0.1% | -8.2% |
Why Muğlaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 5 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Muğlaspor below the model: +8.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Muğlaspor and Vanspor FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
Muğlaspor and Vanspor FK attack and defence ratings
Muğlaspor
Vanspor FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK: result vs prediction
Muğlaspor 2 – 2 Vanspor FK
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Bandırmaspor v Boluspor — match page
- Keçiörengücü vs Sarıyer — team news & stats
- Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor
- Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor — team news & stats
- Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük
- İstanbulspor v Iğdır FK — match page
- Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats
- Manisa F.K. vs Bursaspor
Before and after this match
Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Muğlaspor | 51.6% | 1.94 | +8.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Muğlaspor | 51.6% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Vanspor FK | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.1% |
| No | 61.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Muğlaspor win | 31.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.4% | |
| Loss | 42.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.4% |
| 2-0 | 13.4% | |
| 0-0 | 12.6% |
Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK stats
Muğlaspor and Vanspor FK recent form
| Muğlaspor |
WWDDL |
| Vanspor FK |
LDWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Muğlaspor and Vanspor FK going into this match
Muğlaspor record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Vanspor FK record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-04-01 | Vanspor FK | Muğlaspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 | 2-1 |
| 2017-11-11 | Muğlaspor | Vanspor FK | 3. Lig - Group 2 | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Muğlaspor vs Vanspor FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.2%, draw 27.4%, away 22.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.18 | 4.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.35 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.18 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.32 | 4.65 |
| Unibet | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .