Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük

4 – 3 Full time

16′R. Civelek
20′Metehan Mert
38′Ahmed Traore
46′T. CukurC. Tosun
46′P. Yaldir
48′C. Tosun
49′Pedrinho
54′A. Pesic
56′T. Ahmed
64′P. Yaldir
68′Ramazan Civelek
69′PedrinhoE. Aydogan
70′R. CivelekM. Sarikaya
70′A. NukanD. Verde
75′S. CordovaG. Altiparmak
75′BennyM. Biron
78′E. AkbabaD. Tokoz
78′M. SiopisB. Kalayci
82′P. YaldirG. Karadeniz
82′O. ArtanO. Gurbulak
90′Emirhan Aydoğan

Batman Yeni Şehir Stadı, BatmanReferee: Alper Akarsu, Türkiye

Batman Petrolspor 47%
Draw 28%
Fatih Karagümrük 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 21
5 Shots on target 5
44 Possession % 56
1 Corners 8
18 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 5
2 Saves 2
264 Accurate passes 343

Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBatman PetrolsporDrawFatih Karagümrük
Model54.2%28.1%17.6%
Market45.0%27.5%27.5%
Final47.3%27.6%25.0%
Edge+9.2%+0.7%-9.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Batman Petrolspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.77.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 5 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Batman Petrolspor below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Batman Petrols ↓ / Fatih Karagümr → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 14% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Batman Petrolspor and Fatih Karagümrük expected goals

Batman Petrolspor 1.53
Fatih Karagümrük 0.77

Total expected goals: 2.31

Batman Petrolspor and Fatih Karagümrük attack and defence ratings

Batman Petrolspor

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Fatih Karagümrük

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük: result vs prediction

Batman Petrolspor 4 – 3 Fatih Karagümrük

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Batman Petrolspor 47.3% 2.11 +9.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.5% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score No 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.8% 2.19 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Batman Petrolspor47.3%
Draw27.6%
Fatih Karagümrük25.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.5%
Under 2.559.5%
Both teams to scoreYes43.4%
No56.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.0%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)52.7%
Handicap -1Batman Petrolspor win29.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss45.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.1%
1-113.0%
2-011.7%

Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük stats

Batman Petrolspor and Fatih Karagümrük recent form

newest first
Batman Petrolspor WWWWD
Fatih Karagümrük DDWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Batman Petrolspor and Fatih Karagümrük going into this match

league record before kick-off

Batman Petrolspor record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Fatih Karagümrük record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih Karagümrük odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.9%, draw 27.6%, away 27.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.00 3.34 3.34
Bet365 1.95 3.25 3.40
BetVictor 2.05 3.30 3.30
Betano 2.05 3.45 3.35
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.30
Dafabet 2.03 3.40 3.40
Marathonbet 1.98 3.34 3.28
Pinnacle 2.08 3.63 3.40
Unibet 2.23 3.00 2.90
William Hill 2.05 3.30 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.02 ▼ -0.29
X 3.32 ▲ +0.16
2 3.32 ▲ +0.49

10 snapshots recorded, from .