1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 6

Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor

1 – 0 Full time

11′Atalay Babacan
27′U. Eskiköy
30′Hakan Yesil
45′Atalay BabacanBerat Yılmaz
61′Efehan PekdemirIsmaila Manga
63′Serkan GöksuKerem Sen
63′Muhammet Tunahan TasciMelih Bostan
72′ThuramJonson Clarke-Harris
76′Kerem Sen
77′Andrej DokanovićToheeb Adeola Kosoko
77′Santeri HostikkaDeniz Aksoy
83′damir hreljaAhmet Özkaya
83′Kerem KalafatErdem Gokce
90′Ismaila Manga

Pendik Stadium, IstanbulReferee: Ibrahim Guner, Türkiye

Pendikspor 51%
Draw 26%
Ümraniyespor 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
43 Possession % 57
3 Corners 4
20 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 3
5 Saves 2
324 Accurate passes 455

Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPendiksporDrawÜmraniyespor
Model43.1%28.5%28.3%
Market53.4%25.4%21.2%
Final50.8%26.2%23.0%
Edge-10.2%+3.1%+7.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Pendikspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 1.14.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pendikspor ↓ / Ümraniyespor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Pendikspor and Ümraniyespor expected goals

Pendikspor 1.46
Ümraniyespor 1.14

Total expected goals: 2.60

Pendikspor and Ümraniyespor attack and defence ratings

Pendikspor

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Ümraniyespor

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor: result vs prediction

Pendikspor 1 – 0 Ümraniyespor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Pendikspor 50.8% 1.97 -10.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.0% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.4% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.0% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.9% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pendikspor50.8%
Draw26.2%
Ümraniyespor23.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.0%
Under 2.552.0%
Both teams to scoreYes53.4%
No46.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.0%
12 (either side)73.8%
X2 (draw or away)49.2%
Handicap -1Pendikspor win21.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss56.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-09.6%
2-19.0%

Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor stats

Pendikspor and Ümraniyespor recent form

newest first
Pendikspor LDWLDL
Ümraniyespor LDDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pendikspor and Ümraniyespor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Pendikspor record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

Ümraniyespor record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Pendikspor wins 5Draws 2Ümraniyespor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21ÜmraniyesporPendikspor1. Lig0-0
2025-11-09PendiksporÜmraniyespor1. Lig3-0
2025-04-06ÜmraniyesporPendikspor1. Lig0-0
2024-11-22PendiksporÜmraniyespor1. Lig2-2
2016-02-14ÜmraniyesporPendikspor2. Lig3-0
2015-10-04PendiksporÜmraniyespor2. Lig0-0
2015-03-28ÜmraniyesporPendikspor2. Lig2-1
2014-11-15PendiksporÜmraniyespor2. Lig1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pendikspor vs Ümraniyespor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.2%, draw 25.7%, away 21.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.67 3.65 4.40
Bet365 1.75 3.40 3.90
BetVictor 1.70 3.60 4.40
Betano 1.80 3.50 4.15
Betfair 1.70 3.50 4.40
Dafabet 1.79 3.55 4.10
Marathonbet 1.65 3.65 4.33
Pinnacle 1.75 3.94 4.34
Unibet 1.60 3.55 4.80
William Hill 1.75 3.60 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.73 ▲ +0.11
X 3.62 ▼ -0.12
2 4.33 ▼ -0.67

10 snapshots recorded, from .