Ümraniyespor
vs
Antalyaspor
1 – 2 Full time
| 14′ | Melih Bostan | ||
| 45′ | Ensar TivsizRamzi Safuri | ||
| 56′ | Muhammet Tunahan TasciToheeb Adeola Kosoko | ||
| 56′ | Melih BostanAlejandro Blanco | ||
| 64′ | Soner DikmenMevlüt Şimşek | ||
| 64′ | Doğukan SinikHasan Yakub İlçin | ||
| 73′ | Güray Vural | ||
| 73′ | Santeri HostikkaBengali-Fodé Koita | ||
| 73′ | Kerem SenAtalay Babacan | ||
| 77′ | Bengali-Fodé Koita | ||
| 80′ | Serkan GöksuYusuf Deniz Şaş | ||
| 83′ | Mevlüt Şimşek | ||
| 85′ | Berat Yılmaz | ||
| 87′ | F. Nzaba | ||
| 87′ | PedrinhoSamet Yalcin | ||
| 90′ | Güray Vural | ||
| 90′ | Sander van de StreekVeysel Sarı |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 32 | Possession % | 68 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 232 | Accurate passes | 555 |
Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor
| Probability | Ümraniyespor | Draw | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.0% | 28.7% | 25.3% |
| Market | 31.8% | 27.7% | 40.6% |
| Final | 35.4% | 27.9% | 36.7% |
| Edge | +14.2% | +1.0% | -15.3% |
Why Antalyaspor
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ümraniyespor and Antalyaspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Ümraniyespor and Antalyaspor attack and defence ratings
Ümraniyespor
Antalyaspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor: result vs prediction
Ümraniyespor 1 – 2 Antalyaspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 36.7% | 2.72 | -15.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ümraniyespor | 35.4% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Antalyaspor | 36.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% |
| No | 49.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antalyaspor win | 9.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.5% | |
| Loss | 74.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 10.8% | |
| 0-0 | 9.4% |
Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor stats
Ümraniyespor and Antalyaspor recent form
| Ümraniyespor |
LLDDLD |
| Antalyaspor |
LWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ümraniyespor and Antalyaspor going into this match
Ümraniyespor record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Antalyaspor record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-01-28 | Antalyaspor | Ümraniyespor | Süper Lig | 3-2 |
| 2022-08-14 | Ümraniyespor | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig | 0-1 |
| 2021-07-28 | Antalyaspor | Ümraniyespor | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.7%, draw 27.6%, away 40.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.87 | 3.26 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.25 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.40 | 2.23 |
| Marathonbet | 2.81 | 3.26 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | 2.94 | 3.55 | 2.34 |
| SBO | 2.77 | 3.04 | 2.17 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .