1. Lig
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Bursaspor
vs
Esenler Erokspor
2 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | Kelechi Iheanacho | ||
| 18′ | Mikail Okyar | ||
| 20′ | Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos | ||
| 27′ | Guélor Kanga | ||
| 45′ | Furkan OrakNicolas Janvier | ||
| 45′ | Altin ZeqiriBurak Coban | ||
| 50′ | Yusuf Erdoğan | ||
| 54′ | Yusuf ErdoğanYusuf Arda Özyurt | ||
| 63′ | Halil AkbunarAmine Boutrah | ||
| 63′ | B. GökTural Bayramov | ||
| 69′ | H. Karaman | ||
| 72′ | Kelechi Iheanacho | ||
| 75′ | Eyüp AkcanSoner Aydoğdu | ||
| 75′ | Ivan SaranicHüseyin Maldar | ||
| 77′ | Yusuf Arda ÖzyurtMuhamed Buljubašić | ||
| 77′ | Braian SamudioErkan Kaş | ||
| 83′ | Zeki YavruRahmetullah Berisbek | ||
| 90′ | Erdem·Canpolat | ||
| 90′ | Juergen Elitim |
Bursaspor
56%
Draw
25%
Esenler Erokspor
19%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 9 | Corners | 2 |
| 20 | Fouls | 9 |
| 6 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 361 | Accurate passes | 252 |
Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor
| Probability | Bursaspor | Draw | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.7% | 23.8% | 8.6% |
| Market | 52.6% | 25.0% | 22.5% |
| Final | 56.3% | 24.7% | 19.0% |
| Edge | +15.1% | -1.2% | -13.9% |
Why Bursaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.47.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bursaspor below the model: +15.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
66%
3+ goals
38%
No goals
12%
Bursaspor and Esenler Erokspor expected goals
Bursaspor
1.74
Esenler Erokspor
0.47
Total expected goals: 2.21
Bursaspor and Esenler Erokspor attack and defence ratings
Bursaspor
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Esenler Erokspor
Attack
0.54 -46%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor: result vs prediction
Bursaspor 2 – 2 Esenler Erokspor
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Sarıyer vs Bandırmaspor — team news & stats
- Boluspor vs Pendikspor
- Vanspor FK v Keçiörengücü — match page
- Ümraniyespor vs Antalyaspor — team news & stats
- Bodrum FK vs Batman Petrolspor
- Sivasspor v Muğlaspor — match page
- Iğdır FK vs Mardin 1969 — team news & stats
- Fatih Karagümrük v Manisa F.K. — match page
Before and after this match
Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bursaspor | 56.3% | 1.77 | +15.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bursaspor win | 40.6% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bursaspor | 56.3% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Esenler Erokspor | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.9% |
| No | 68.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bursaspor win | 40.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.1% | |
| Loss | 32.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.2% |
| 2-0 | 16.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.8% |
Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor stats
Bursaspor and Esenler Erokspor recent form
| Bursaspor |
WWWLWW |
| Esenler Erokspor |
LDLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bursaspor and Esenler Erokspor going into this match
Bursaspor record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Esenler Erokspor record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
0Bursaspor wins
2Draws
2Esenler Erokspor wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-13 | Esenler Erokspor | Bursaspor | 2. Lig | 5-1 |
| 2023-12-02 | Bursaspor | Esenler Erokspor | 2. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2023-03-11 | Esenler Erokspor | Bursaspor | 2. Lig | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-01 | Bursaspor | Esenler Erokspor | 2. Lig | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bursaspor vs Esenler Erokspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.6%, draw 25.0%, away 22.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.78 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 3.78 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 4.09 | 4.16 |
| SBO | 1.62 | 3.32 | 3.97 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.71 ▲ +0.01
X
3.60 ▼ -0.30
2
4.00 —
12 snapshots recorded, from .