Vanspor FK
vs
Keçiörengücü
1 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Halil Can Ayan | ||
| 45′ | Faruk Can GençKadir Seven | ||
| 45′ | Mehmet ÖzcanHikmet Çiftçi | ||
| 54′ | Berkan Mahmut Keskin | ||
| 66′ | Halil Can AyanJefferson | ||
| 66′ | Francis EzehAlcídio Raice | ||
| 68′ | Özkan YiğiterOzan Kokcu | ||
| 68′ | Muhammed Furkan ÖzhanIlias Alhaft | ||
| 76′ | Alcídio Raice | ||
| 78′ | Mehmet Manis | ||
| 82′ | Berkan Mahmut KeskinOğuzcan Çalışkan | ||
| 82′ | I. KaraogulE. Develi | ||
| 84′ | Mehmet Manis | ||
| 89′ | Alvaro de Oliveiraİlkan Sever |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 2 |
| 376 | Accurate passes | 279 |
Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü
| Probability | Vanspor FK | Draw | Keçiörengücü |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.4% | 21.8% | 59.8% |
| Market | 24.6% | 26.1% | 49.3% |
| Final | 23.1% | 25.0% | 51.9% |
| Edge | -6.3% | -4.2% | +10.5% |
Why Keçiörengücü
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.15.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Keçiörengücü below the model: +10.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vanspor FK and Keçiörengücü expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.33
Vanspor FK and Keçiörengücü attack and defence ratings
Vanspor FK
Keçiörengücü
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü: result vs prediction
Vanspor FK 1 – 1 Keçiörengücü
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Keçiörengücü | 51.9% | 1.93 | +10.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vanspor FK | 23.1% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Keçiörengücü | 51.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.6% |
| No | 38.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Keçiörengücü win | 38.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 40.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.5% |
Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü stats
Vanspor FK and Keçiörengücü recent form
| Vanspor FK |
DLDWLL |
| Keçiörengücü |
WWDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vanspor FK and Keçiörengücü going into this match
Vanspor FK record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Keçiörengücü record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Keçiörengücü | Vanspor FK | 1. Lig | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Vanspor FK | Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2014-03-16 | Keçiörengücü | Vanspor FK | 3. Lig - Group 3 | 3-1 |
| 2013-10-27 | Vanspor FK | Keçiörengücü | 3. Lig - Group 3 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vanspor FK vs Keçiörengücü odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 24.8%, draw 26.1%, away 49.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.80 | 3.45 | 1.83 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.83 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| Betano | 3.70 | 3.55 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 3.70 | 3.55 | 1.89 |
| Marathonbet | 3.74 | 3.45 | 1.81 |
| Pinnacle | 3.95 | 3.69 | 1.89 |
| SBO | 3.21 | 3.13 | 1.93 |
| William Hill | 3.70 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .