Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 8

Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK

3 – 0 Full time

29′Francis Nzaba
38′Sander van de Streek
46′Özkan YigiterOzan Kökçü
48′Kadir Seven
56′Nuno Da Costa
64′Sinan Osmanoğlu
65′Muhammed Furkan ÖzhanIlias Alhaft
65′Jurgen BardhiMolik Khan
67′Alvaro de Oliveiraİlkan Sever
71′Ramzi SafouriJesper Ceesay
71′Sander van de StreekÖmer Faruk Beyaz
78′Nuno Da CostaAhmet Sağat
78′Soner DikmenHasan Yakub İlçin
86′PedrinhoSamet Yalçın
86′Hikmet ÇiftçiMehmet Özcan
88′Samet Yalçın

Corendon Airlines Park, AntalyaReferee: M. Belder

Antalyaspor 56%
Draw 24%
Vanspor FK 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
49 Possession % 51
3 Corners 2
11 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 0
3 Saves 0
349 Accurate passes 382

Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAntalyasporDrawVanspor FK
Model52.2%24.3%23.6%
Market57.1%23.8%19.0%
Final55.9%23.9%20.2%
Edge-5.0%+0.5%+4.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Antalyaspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.24.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Antalyaspor ↓ / Vanspor FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Antalyaspor and Vanspor FK expected goals

Antalyaspor 1.91
Vanspor FK 1.24

Total expected goals: 3.15

Antalyaspor and Vanspor FK attack and defence ratings

Antalyaspor

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Vanspor FK

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK: result vs prediction

Antalyaspor 3 – 0 Vanspor FK

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Antalyaspor 55.9% 1.79 -5.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.0% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.5% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.8% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.8% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Antalyaspor55.9%
Draw23.9%
Vanspor FK20.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.0%
Under 2.539.0%
Both teams to scoreYes61.5%
No38.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.8%
12 (either side)76.1%
X2 (draw or away)44.1%
Handicap -1Antalyaspor win30.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss47.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.1%
2-19.7%
2-07.8%

Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK stats

Antalyaspor and Vanspor FK recent form

newest first
Antalyaspor WLWLLL
Vanspor FK DDLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Antalyaspor and Vanspor FK going into this match

league record before kick-off

Antalyaspor record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vanspor FK record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Antalyaspor vs Vanspor FK odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.1%, draw 23.8%, away 19.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.55 3.84 5.00
Bet365 1.60 3.90 4.75
BetVictor 1.60 3.80 4.80
Betano 1.62 3.90 4.85
Betfair 1.57 3.90 4.75
Marathonbet 1.53 3.84 4.90
Pinnacle 1.63 4.05 5.12
SBO 1.53 3.65 4.59
William Hill 1.62 3.75 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.60 ▲ +0.06
X 3.84 ▼ -0.14
2 4.80 ▼ -0.25

14 snapshots recorded, from .