1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 9

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor

0 – 1 Full time

30′Bünyamin Balci
36′T. Artuç
62′Jesper CeesayDoğukan Sinik
62′Mevlüt ŞimşekOmer Beyaz
64′T. ArtuçHosue Díaz
68′Sander van de Streek
74′Fernando EscobarBertu Ozyurek
74′Ahmet Can ÖzdemirFurkan Metin
76′Pedrinho
78′Sander van de Streek
79′Furkan Metin
80′M. DursunEge Özkayimoglu
85′Sander van de StreekHasan Yakub İlçin
89′Nuno Da CostaErdoğan Yeşilyurt
89′PedrinhoAhmet Sağat

Bolu Atatürk Stadium, BoruReferee: Omer Faruk Gultekin

Boluspor 18%
Draw 23%
Antalyaspor 59%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
35 Possession % 65
1 Corners 5
13 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 5
3 Saves 4
269 Accurate passes 538

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Boluspor vs Antalyaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBolusporDrawAntalyaspor
Model21.0%24.2%54.8%
Market16.8%22.7%60.5%
Final17.8%23.1%59.1%
Edge+1.1%+0.4%-1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Antalyaspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Boluspor ↓ / Antalyaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 9% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Boluspor and Antalyaspor expected goals

Boluspor 1.12
Antalyaspor 1.92

Total expected goals: 3.04

Boluspor and Antalyaspor attack and defence ratings

Boluspor

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.45 +45%

Antalyaspor

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor: result vs prediction

Boluspor 0 – 1 Antalyaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Antalyaspor 59.1% 1.69 -1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.6% 1.71 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.2% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.2% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Boluspor17.8%
Draw23.1%
Antalyaspor59.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.6%
Under 2.541.4%
Both teams to scoreYes58.6%
No41.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)40.9%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)82.2%
Handicap -1Antalyaspor win32.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss45.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.3%
1-29.9%
0-28.8%

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor stats

Boluspor and Antalyaspor recent form

newest first
Boluspor LDLLLL
Antalyaspor WWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Boluspor and Antalyaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Boluspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Antalyaspor record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Boluspor wins 1Draws 2Antalyaspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-12-17AntalyasporBolusporTürkiye Kupası1-0
2015-04-29AntalyasporBoluspor1. Lig1-1
2014-12-14BolusporAntalyaspor1. Lig0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.8%, draw 22.8%, away 60.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.69 4.00 1.47
Bet365 5.00 3.90 1.50
BetVictor 5.75 4.00 1.50
Betano 5.50 4.05 1.53
Betfair 5.00 4.00 1.50
Dafabet 5.40 4.10 1.56
Marathonbet 5.45 4.00 1.46
Pinnacle 5.41 4.41 1.55
SBO 4.39 3.54 1.52
William Hill 5.50 4.00 1.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.41 ▲ +0.59
X 4.00 —
2 1.50 ▼ -0.12

13 snapshots recorded, from .