1. Lig · ·Matchday 9

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor

Garuda Lions Prediction: Antalyaspor

1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability

Bolu Atatürk Stadium, BoruReferee: Omer Faruk Gultekin

Boluspor 18%
Draw 23%
Antalyaspor 59%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Antalyaspor wins
59%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
59%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Boluspor vs Antalyaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBolusporDrawAntalyaspor
Model21.1%24.3%54.6%
Market16.7%22.8%60.5%
Final17.8%23.2%59.0%
Edge+4.4%+1.4%-5.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Antalyaspor

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.12.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.56, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor match preview

In the upcoming match between Boluspor and Antalyaspor, the probabilities indicate a strong advantage for Antalyaspor, with a 55% likelihood of victory compared to Boluspor's 21%. The draw stands at 24%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 59% chance for both teams to find the net and a similar percentage for over 2.5 goals in the match.

Boluspor's recent form has been challenging, with six consecutive matches resulting in four losses and two draws. In contrast, Antalyaspor has had a mixed run, winning three of their last six matches, although they also recorded two losses. The expected goals suggest Boluspor will score 1.13 while Antalyaspor is expected to net 1.91.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Boluspor ↓ / Antalyaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 9% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

Boluspor and Antalyaspor expected goals

Boluspor 1.12
Antalyaspor 1.92

Total expected goals: 3.04

Boluspor and Antalyaspor attack and defence ratings

Boluspor

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.45 +45%

Antalyaspor

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Antalyaspor 59.0% 1.69 -5.8% 1.56
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.5% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.6% 1.71 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.2% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.2% 2.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Boluspor17.8%
Draw23.2%
Antalyaspor59.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.5%
Under 2.541.5%
Both teams to scoreYes58.6%
No41.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)41.0%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)82.2%
Handicap -1Antalyaspor win32.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss45.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
1-29.9%
0-28.8%

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor stats

Boluspor and Antalyaspor recent form

newest first
Boluspor LDLLLL
Antalyaspor WWLWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Boluspor and Antalyaspor season so far

league record

Boluspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Antalyaspor record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0Boluspor wins 1Draws 2Antalyaspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-12-17AntalyasporBolusporTürkiye Kupası1-0
2015-04-29AntalyasporBoluspor1. Lig1-1
2014-12-14BolusporAntalyaspor1. Lig0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Boluspor vs Antalyaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.7%, draw 22.8%, away 60.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.69 4.00 1.47
Bet365 6.00 4.10 1.42
BetVictor 5.75 4.00 1.50
Betano 5.50 4.05 1.53
Betfair 5.00 4.00 1.50
Dafabet 5.40 4.10 1.56
Marathonbet 5.45 4.00 1.46
Pinnacle 5.42 4.36 1.54
SBO 4.39 3.54 1.52
William Hill 5.50 4.00 1.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.47 ▲ +0.65
X 4.00 —
2 1.51 ▼ -0.11

12 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Antalyaspor Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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