1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 10

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor

0 – 4 Full time

2′Daniel Moreno
24′Taulant Seferi
29′Güray VuralMevlüt Şimşek
37′Manadi Camara
42′Fotios PseftisAbdullah Yigiter
45′Manadi Camara
45′Soner DikmenJesper Ceesay
45′Manadi CamaraEnsar Kemaloglu
53′Doğukan SinikAhmet Sağat
53′Taulant Seferi
61′Benhur KeserFlorent Hasani
61′Görkem SağlamMurat Cem Akpinar
68′Daniel MorenoOğulcan Çağlayan
74′Sinan KurtMarco Dulca
74′PedrinhoSamet Yalcin
74′Sander van de StreekHasan Yakub İlçin
83′Taulant SeferiAtaol Taylan Karapınar

Corendon Airlines Park, AntalyaReferee: Altindas, Birkan

Antalyaspor 31%
Draw 28%
Kayserispor 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 7
60 Possession % 40
5 Corners 1
14 Fouls 15
3 Saves 1
487 Accurate passes 314

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAntalyasporDrawKayserispor
Model30.1%28.3%41.6%
Market31.1%27.8%41.1%
Final30.9%27.9%41.2%
Edge-0.3%+0.1%+0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Antalyaspor ↓ / Kayserispor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Antalyaspor and Kayserispor expected goals

Antalyaspor 1.21
Kayserispor 1.45

Total expected goals: 2.66

Antalyaspor and Kayserispor attack and defence ratings

Antalyaspor

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Kayserispor

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor: result vs prediction

Antalyaspor 0 – 4 Kayserispor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kayserispor 41.2% 2.43 +0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Antalyaspor30.9%
Draw27.9%
Kayserispor41.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.7%
Under 2.550.3%
Both teams to scoreYes54.9%
No45.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.8%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)69.1%
Handicap -1Kayserispor win20.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
0-18.9%
1-28.9%

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor stats

Antalyaspor and Kayserispor recent form

newest first
Antalyaspor WWWLWL
Kayserispor WWWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Antalyaspor and Kayserispor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Antalyaspor record

  • They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kayserispor record

  • They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Antalyaspor wins 4Draws 4Kayserispor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22KayserisporAntalyasporSüper Lig1-0
2025-09-20AntalyasporKayserisporSüper Lig1-1
2025-05-12KayserisporAntalyasporSüper Lig3-1
2024-12-15AntalyasporKayserisporSüper Lig2-0
2024-01-29KayserisporAntalyasporSüper Lig1-1
2023-09-02AntalyasporKayserisporSüper Lig1-1
2023-03-11AntalyasporKayserisporSüper Lig4-0
2023-01-17AntalyasporKayserisporTürkiye Kupası0-2
2022-09-11KayserisporAntalyasporSüper Lig1-0
2022-04-24AntalyasporKayserisporSüper Lig1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.3%, draw 27.9%, away 40.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.89 3.25 2.21
Bet365 2.90 3.20 2.20
BetVictor 2.90 3.25 2.25
Betano 2.92 3.25 2.32
Betfair 2.80 3.30 2.20
Dafabet 3.05 3.25 2.32
Marathonbet 2.82 3.25 2.19
Pinnacle 3.01 3.27 2.43
SBO 2.80 3.02 2.16
William Hill 3.00 3.00 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▲ +0.08
X 3.25 ▼ -0.30
2 2.20 ▼ -0.05

12 snapshots recorded, from .