Antalyaspor
vs
Kayserispor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kayserispor
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor
| Probability | Antalyaspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 28.7% | 41.5% |
| Market | 32.9% | 25.9% | 41.2% |
| Final | 32.2% | 26.6% | 41.2% |
| Edge | -3.1% | +2.8% | +0.3% |
Why Kayserispor
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor match preview
Antalyaspor faces Kayserispor in a 1. Lig matchup on October 14, 2026. According to our model, Antalyaspor has a 30% chance of winning, while Kayserispor is favored with a 42% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Expected goals are 1.17 for Antalyaspor and 1.42 for Kayserispor, indicating a slight advantage for the visitors.
In terms of recent form, Antalyaspor has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Kayserispor has performed better with four wins, one draw, and one loss. The head-to-head record shows that Antalyaspor has not secured a victory against Kayserispor in their last two encounters, with one draw and one win for Kayserispor. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antalyaspor and Kayserispor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Antalyaspor and Kayserispor attack and defence ratings
Antalyaspor
Kayserispor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK — team news & stats
- Pendikspor v Vanspor FK — match page
- Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor — match page
- Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor
- Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK — team news & stats
- Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük
- Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor
- Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kayserispor | 41.2% | 2.43 | +0.3% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 32.2% |
| Draw | 26.6% | |
| Kayserispor | 41.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kayserispor win | 20.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.9% |
Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor stats
Antalyaspor and Kayserispor recent form
| Antalyaspor |
WWLWLL |
| Kayserispor |
WWWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antalyaspor and Kayserispor season so far
Antalyaspor record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kayserispor record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Kayserispor | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Antalyaspor | Kayserispor | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.9%, draw 25.9%, away 41.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.82 | 3.55 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .