Keçiörengücü
vs
Iğdır FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Keçiörengücü
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK
| Probability | Keçiörengücü | Draw | Iğdır FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.4% | 26.3% | 20.3% |
| Market | 44.4% | 25.7% | 29.9% |
| Final | 46.7% | 25.8% | 27.5% |
| Edge | +9.0% | +0.6% | -9.6% |
Why Keçiörengücü
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.98.
- The market prices Keçiörengücü below the model: +9.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.08, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK match preview
Keçiörengücü is set to face Iğdır FK in a 1. Lig match on October 14, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match result are 52% for a Keçiörengücü win, 26% for a draw, and 22% for an Iğdır FK victory. The expected goals for Keçiörengücü stand at 1.71, while Iğdır FK is projected to score 1.04. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Keçiörengücü, with a 10% probability.
In terms of recent form, Keçiörengücü has recorded two draws, two wins, and one loss in their last five matches, while Iğdır FK has achieved four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same period. The head-to-head record shows each team has won once in their last two encounters. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Keçiörengücü and Iğdır FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Keçiörengücü and Iğdır FK attack and defence ratings
Keçiörengücü
Iğdır FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Sarıyer vs Bodrum FK — team news & stats
- Pendikspor v Vanspor FK — match page
- Batman Petrolspor v İstanbulspor — match page
- Ümraniyespor vs Boluspor
- Antalyaspor vs Kayserispor — team news & stats
- Mardin 1969 vs Fatih Karagümrük
- Manisa F.K. vs Esenler Erokspor
- Muğlaspor vs Bursaspor — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Keçiörengücü | 46.7% | 2.14 | +9.0% | 2.08 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Keçiörengücü | 46.7% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Iğdır FK | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Keçiörengücü win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-0 | 10.0% |
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK stats
Keçiörengücü and Iğdır FK recent form
| Keçiörengücü |
WDDWWD |
| Iğdır FK |
DWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Keçiörengücü and Iğdır FK season so far
Keçiörengücü record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Iğdır FK record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Iğdır FK | Keçiörengücü | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-29 | Keçiörengücü | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.4%, draw 25.7%, away 29.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.60 | 3.08 |
| Dafabet | 2.08 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .