Iğdır FK
vs
Boluspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Iğdır FK
2 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Iğdır FK vs Boluspor
| Probability | Iğdır FK | Draw | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.1% | 16.4% | 6.5% |
| Market | 79.0% | 13.9% | 7.1% |
| Final | 78.5% | 14.6% | 7.0% |
| Edge | -1.9% | +2.5% | -0.6% |
Why Iğdır FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.21, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor match preview
Iğdır FK enters this match against Boluspor with a strong recent form, having won their last five matches, while Boluspor is struggling, with six consecutive losses. According to our model, Iğdır FK has a 79% probability of winning, with an expected goals tally of 2.67 compared to Boluspor's 0.65. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 2-0, occurring 13% of the time.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is estimated at 45%. Historically, in their last two encounters, Iğdır FK has not secured a win against Boluspor, with one draw and one loss. The confidence grade for this analysis is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Iğdır FK and Boluspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Iğdır FK and Boluspor attack and defence ratings
Iğdır FK
Boluspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iğdır FK | 78.5% | 1.27 | -1.9% | 1.21 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Iğdır FK win | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iğdır FK | 78.5% |
| Draw | 14.6% | |
| Boluspor | 7.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.2% |
| No | 58.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 85.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 21.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Iğdır FK win | 55.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 22.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.5% |
| 3-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-0 | 11.3% |
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor stats
Iğdır FK and Boluspor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Iğdır FK and Boluspor season so far
Iğdır FK record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Boluspor record
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Boluspor | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Iğdır FK | Boluspor | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-19 | Iğdır FK | Boluspor | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
| 2024-08-11 | Boluspor | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Iğdır FK vs Boluspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 78.6%, draw 14.2%, away 7.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 6.65 | 12.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.15 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.21 | 5.80 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.19 | 6.20 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 6.65 | 12.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.17 | 7.29 | 14.00 |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .