Garuda Lions
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1. Lig · Full time ·Matchday 11

Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor

2 – 1 Full time

Bodrum Ilce Stadi, BodrumReferee: Suleyman Bahadir

Bodrum FK 34%
Draw 31%
Bandırmaspor 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBodrum FKDrawBandırmaspor
Model29.7%37.7%32.6%
Market36.0%28.9%35.1%
Final34.4%31.1%34.5%
Edge-6.2%+8.7%-2.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bodrum FK ↓ / Bandırmaspor → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 15% 1 14% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 49%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

Bodrum FK and Bandırmaspor expected goals

Bodrum FK 0.78
Bandırmaspor 0.84

Total expected goals: 1.62

Bodrum FK and Bandırmaspor attack and defence ratings

Bodrum FK

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Bandırmaspor

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.54 -46%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor: result vs prediction

Bodrum FK 2 – 1 Bandırmaspor

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bandırmaspor 34.5% 2.90 -2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77.8% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score No 67.9% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.9% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.4% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bodrum FK34.4%
Draw31.1%
Bandırmaspor34.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522.2%
Under 2.577.8%
Both teams to scoreYes32.1%
No67.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.5%
12 (either side)68.9%
X2 (draw or away)65.6%
Handicap -1Bandırmaspor win11.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss67.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-021.1%
0-115.2%
1-114.3%

Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor stats

Bodrum FK and Bandırmaspor recent form

newest first
Bodrum FK WLDWLD
Bandırmaspor DWLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bodrum FK and Bandırmaspor going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bodrum FK record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bandırmaspor record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Bodrum FK wins 4Draws 2Bandırmaspor wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Bodrum FKBandırmaspor1. Lig0-0
2025-12-08BandırmasporBodrum FK1. Lig2-0
2024-03-09BandırmasporBodrum FK1. Lig0-0
2023-10-22Bodrum FKBandırmaspor1. Lig2-1
2023-03-29BandırmasporBodrum FK1. Lig0-4
2022-10-23Bodrum FKBandırmaspor1. Lig1-1
2020-03-15Bodrum FKBandırmaspor2. Lig0-1
2019-11-03BandırmasporBodrum FK2. Lig0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bodrum FK vs Bandırmaspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.8%, draw 29.0%, away 35.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.51 3.12 2.50
Bet365 2.50 3.10 2.55
BetVictor 2.55 3.13 2.60
Betano 2.60 3.20 2.62
Betfair 2.55 3.30 2.50
Dafabet 2.60 3.25 2.65
Marathonbet 2.51 3.12 2.50
Pinnacle 2.60 3.38 2.71
SBO 2.42 2.90 2.42
William Hill 2.50 3.10 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.51 ▲ +0.39
X 3.12 ▼ -0.18
2 2.58 ▼ -0.72

9 snapshots recorded, from .