Bandırmaspor
vs
Iğdır FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bandırmaspor
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK
| Probability | Bandırmaspor | Draw | Iğdır FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.9% | 33.0% | 21.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.9% | 33.0% | 21.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bandırmaspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.72.
Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK match preview
Bandırmaspor faces Iğdır FK in a match where the model gives Bandırmaspor a 46% chance of winning, while Iğdır FK has a 21% probability of victory and a 33% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Bandırmaspor are 1.19, compared to Iğdır FK's 0.72, suggesting a tighter contest than the probabilities indicate. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 16%.
In terms of recent form, Bandırmaspor has recorded two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches, while Iğdır FK is on a stronger run with five wins and a draw in their most recent outings. The head-to-head record shows no wins for either side in their last two encounters, with both matches ending in draws. The model indicates a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bandırmaspor and Iğdır FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
Bandırmaspor and Iğdır FK attack and defence ratings
Bandırmaspor
Iğdır FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bandırmaspor | 45.9% |
| Draw | 33.0% | |
| Iğdır FK | 21.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.9% |
| No | 63.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bandırmaspor win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 54.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.4% |
| 0-0 | 16.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.9% |
Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK stats
Bandırmaspor and Iğdır FK recent form
| Bandırmaspor |
DWLDWL |
| Iğdır FK |
DWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bandırmaspor and Iğdır FK season so far
Bandırmaspor record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Iğdır FK record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bandırmaspor vs Iğdır FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Bandırmaspor | Iğdır FK | 1. Lig | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Iğdır FK | Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.