Batman Petrolspor
vs
Esenler Erokspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Batman Petrolspor
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.21.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor
| Probability | Batman Petrolspor | Draw | Esenler Erokspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.8% | 24.7% | 23.6% |
| Market | 32.8% | 28.5% | 38.7% |
| Final | 37.6% | 27.5% | 34.9% |
| Edge | +4.7% | -1.0% | -3.8% |
Why Batman Petrolspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.21.
- The market prices Batman Petrolspor below our published probability: +4.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.88, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +8.2% per unit staked (our 37.6% × 2.88 − 1).
Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor match preview
Batman Petrolspor is set to face Esenler Erokspor in a 1. Lig match, with kickoff scheduled for October 25, 2026. According to our model, Batman Petrolspor has a 38% probability of winning, while Esenler Erokspor stands at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Batman Petrolspor, with an expected goals tally of 1.87 for them and 1.21 for Esenler Erokspor.
In terms of recent form, Batman Petrolspor has recorded a draw, a win, and three losses in their last five matches, while Esenler Erokspor has achieved two wins, two draws, and a loss. The head-to-head record in their last four encounters shows Batman Petrolspor with one win and three draws against Esenler Erokspor, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Batman Petrolspor and Esenler Erokspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.08
Batman Petrolspor and Esenler Erokspor attack and defence ratings
Batman Petrolspor
Esenler Erokspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Batman Petrolspor | 37.6% | 2.66 | +4.7% | 2.88 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Batman Petrolspor | 37.6% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Esenler Erokspor | 34.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.4% |
| No | 39.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Batman Petrolspor win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 48.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor stats
Batman Petrolspor and Esenler Erokspor recent form
| Batman Petrolspor |
DWLLLW |
| Esenler Erokspor |
WDWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Batman Petrolspor and Esenler Erokspor season so far
Batman Petrolspor record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Esenler Erokspor record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-25 | Esenler Erokspor | Batman Petrolspor | 2. Lig | 2-2 |
| 2022-10-09 | Batman Petrolspor | Esenler Erokspor | 2. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2021-02-11 | Batman Petrolspor | Esenler Erokspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 | 0-0 |
| 2020-10-04 | Esenler Erokspor | Batman Petrolspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.8%, draw 28.5%, away 38.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.80 | 3.12 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 3.30 | 2.37 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.73 | 3.12 | 2.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.86 | 3.37 | 2.48 |
| SBO | 2.67 | 3.04 | 2.24 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .