Pendikspor
vs
Kayserispor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kayserispor
0 – 2 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.82.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pendikspor vs Kayserispor
| Probability | Pendikspor | Draw | Kayserispor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.7% | 21.5% | 65.8% |
| Market | 22.6% | 25.5% | 51.9% |
| Final | 20.1% | 24.5% | 55.4% |
| Edge | -2.5% | -1.0% | +3.5% |
Why Kayserispor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kayserispor below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.3% per unit staked (our 55.4% × 1.80 − 1).
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor match preview
Pendikspor faces Kayserispor in the 1. Lig with a challenging outlook. The probabilities indicate a 20% chance for Pendikspor to win, a 24% likelihood of a draw, and a 55% chance for Kayserispor to secure victory. The expected goals suggest Pendikspor will score 0.82, while Kayserispor is forecasted to net 2.09, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 0-2, which has a 12% probability.
Recent form highlights Pendikspor's struggles, with three losses and two draws in their last five matches, while Kayserispor has shown strong performance, winning their last six games. The model also indicates a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score, reflecting an expectation of an active match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pendikspor and Kayserispor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Pendikspor and Kayserispor attack and defence ratings
Pendikspor
Kayserispor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Ümraniyespor vs Sivasspor
- Bandırmaspor v Iğdır FK — match page
- Muğlaspor v İstanbulspor — match page
- Sarıyer v Fatih Karagümrük — match page
- Batman Petrolspor vs Esenler Erokspor
- Antalyaspor v Bodrum FK — match page
- Keçiörengücü vs Bursaspor — team news & stats
- Mardin 1969 vs Manisa F.K. — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kayserispor | 55.4% | 1.81 | +3.5% | 1.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kayserispor win | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pendikspor | 20.1% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Kayserispor | 55.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% |
| No | 49.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 79.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kayserispor win | 42.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 34.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.9% |
| 0-1 | 10.4% | |
| 1-1 | 10.3% |
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor stats
Pendikspor and Kayserispor recent form
| Pendikspor |
LLLDDW |
| Kayserispor |
DWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pendikspor and Kayserispor season so far
Pendikspor record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Kayserispor record
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Kayserispor | Pendikspor | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-28 | Pendikspor | Kayserispor | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-10 | Kayserispor | Pendikspor | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pendikspor vs Kayserispor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 22.6%, draw 25.5%, away 51.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.04 | 3.52 | 1.74 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Betano | 4.05 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.75 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.70 | 1.80 |
| Marathonbet | 3.95 | 3.52 | 1.72 |
| Pinnacle | 4.35 | 3.76 | 1.79 |
| SBO | 3.74 | 3.37 | 1.71 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .