Sarıyer
vs
Fatih Karagümrük
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sarıyer
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük
| Probability | Sarıyer | Draw | Fatih Karagümrük |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 30.7% | 30.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.6% | 30.7% | 30.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük match preview
Sarıyer faces Fatih Karagümrük in a match where the probabilities indicate a slight edge for Sarıyer at 39%, while both a draw and a Fatih Karagümrük win are projected at 31%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-0, with an 11% probability. Expected goals suggest Sarıyer will score 1.24, compared to Fatih Karagümrük's 1.08.
In terms of recent form, Sarıyer has recorded a D-L-D-W-D-L streak, while Fatih Karagümrük's latest results show L-D-W-D-L-D. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 41%, and the likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 48%. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sarıyer and Fatih Karagümrük expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Sarıyer and Fatih Karagümrük attack and defence ratings
Sarıyer
Fatih Karagümrük
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarıyer | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sarıyer | 38.6% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Fatih Karagümrük | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sarıyer win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.1% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Sarıyer vs Fatih Karagümrük stats
Sarıyer and Fatih Karagümrük recent form
| Sarıyer |
DLDWDL |
| Fatih Karagümrük |
LDWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sarıyer and Fatih Karagümrük season so far
Sarıyer record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Fatih Karagümrük record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.