1. Lig · ·Matchday 12

Boluspor vs Vanspor FK

Garuda Lions Prediction: Vanspor FK

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

Boluspor 31%
Draw 28%
Vanspor FK 41%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Vanspor FK wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
57%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Boluspor vs Vanspor FK overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Boluspor vs Vanspor FK

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBolusporDrawVanspor FK
Model31.4%27.8%40.8%
Market———
Final31.4%27.8%40.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Vanspor FK

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Boluspor vs Vanspor FK match preview

Boluspor faces Vanspor FK in a 1. Lig match on October 23, 2026. According to our model, Boluspor has a 31% chance of winning, while Vanspor FK is favored with a 41% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an expected goals tally of 1.27 for Boluspor and 1.47 for Vanspor FK. Recent form shows Boluspor struggling with six consecutive games without a win, while Vanspor FK has a mixed record with one win in their last six matches.

The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52%, and both teams are projected to score in 57% of the scenarios. In their last two encounters, Boluspor and Vanspor FK each secured one victory, indicating a competitive matchup ahead. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Boluspor ↓ / Vanspor FK → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Boluspor and Vanspor FK expected goals

Boluspor 1.27
Vanspor FK 1.47

Total expected goals: 2.74

Boluspor and Vanspor FK attack and defence ratings

Boluspor

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Vanspor FK

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Boluspor vs Vanspor FK markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vanspor FK 40.8% 2.45 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.6% 1.77 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.2% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.2% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Boluspor31.4%
Draw27.8%
Vanspor FK40.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes56.6%
No43.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.2%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)68.6%
Handicap -1Vanspor FK win20.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss59.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-28.9%
0-18.3%

Boluspor vs Vanspor FK stats

Boluspor and Vanspor FK recent form

newest first
Boluspor LLDLLL
Vanspor FK WLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Boluspor and Vanspor FK season so far

league record

Boluspor record

  • They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 9 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vanspor FK record

  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Boluspor vs Vanspor FK head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Boluspor wins 0Draws 1Vanspor FK wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-09Vanspor FKBoluspor1. Lig0-1
2025-08-10BolusporVanspor FK1. Lig2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Boluspor vs Vanspor FK odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Vanspor FK Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now