Sivasspor
vs
Boluspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sivasspor
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.72.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Sivasspor is the favourite, not a value bet.
Sivasspor vs Boluspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sivasspor vs Boluspor
| Probability | Sivasspor | Draw | Boluspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.2% | 22.8% | 12.1% |
| Market | 60.4% | 22.7% | 17.0% |
| Final | 61.6% | 22.7% | 15.8% |
| Edge | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
Why Sivasspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.6% per unit staked (our 61.6% × 1.55 − 1).
Sivasspor vs Boluspor match preview
Sivasspor is favored to win against Boluspor with a 65% probability, reflecting their stronger recent form, which includes one win and three draws in their last six matches. In contrast, Boluspor has struggled significantly, recording five losses and one draw in their recent outings. The expected goals for Sivasspor stand at 1.94, while Boluspor's is considerably lower at 0.72, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 13% probability. While there is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, both teams scoring is estimated at 45%. Historically, Sivasspor has dominated their recent encounters with Boluspor, winning both of the last two matchups without conceding.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sivasspor and Boluspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Sivasspor and Boluspor attack and defence ratings
Sivasspor
Boluspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sivasspor vs Boluspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sivasspor | 61.6% | 1.62 | +1.2% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sivasspor win | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sivasspor | 61.6% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| Boluspor | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.7% |
| No | 55.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sivasspor win | 40.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 34.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 10.8% |
Sivasspor vs Boluspor stats
Sivasspor and Boluspor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sivasspor and Boluspor season so far
Sivasspor record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Boluspor record
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 10 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sivasspor vs Boluspor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | Boluspor | Sivasspor | 1. Lig | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Sivasspor | Boluspor | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sivasspor vs Boluspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.4%, draw 22.7%, away 17.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.48 | 4.05 | 5.47 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.05 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 4.05 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.25 | 5.52 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.90 | 5.00 |