Bodrum FK
vs
Ümraniyespor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bodrum FK
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.90.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Bodrum FK is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor
| Probability | Bodrum FK | Draw | Ümraniyespor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.0% | 31.6% | 25.4% |
| Market | 40.8% | 29.6% | 29.6% |
| Final | 41.3% | 30.1% | 28.6% |
| Edge | +0.6% | +0.5% | -1.0% |
Why Bodrum FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.0% per unit staked (our 41.3% × 2.25 − 1).
Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor match preview
Bodrum FK and Ümraniyespor are set to clash in the 1. Lig, with Bodrum FK holding a 43% probability of winning according to our model, while Ümraniyespor stands at 25%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Bodrum FK, with an expected goals tally of 1.25 for Bodrum FK compared to 0.90 for Ümraniyespor.
Recent form shows Bodrum FK with three wins, one draw, and a loss in their last five matches, while Ümraniyespor has recorded three wins, one draw, and two losses. In their last two encounters, both teams have secured one win each, indicating a competitive matchup. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals sit at 36%, and both teams to score is at 44%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bodrum FK and Ümraniyespor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Bodrum FK and Ümraniyespor attack and defence ratings
Bodrum FK
Ümraniyespor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodrum FK | 41.3% | 2.42 | +0.6% | 2.25 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.3% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bodrum FK | 41.3% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Ümraniyespor | 28.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.7% |
| No | 56.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bodrum FK win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 13.0% |
Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor stats
Bodrum FK and Ümraniyespor recent form
| Bodrum FK |
WWWLDW |
| Ümraniyespor |
WWDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bodrum FK and Ümraniyespor season so far
Bodrum FK record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ümraniyespor record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Bodrum FK | Ümraniyespor | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Ümraniyespor | Bodrum FK | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.8%, draw 29.6%, away 29.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.10 | 3.06 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.15 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.10 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 3.24 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.10 |