İstanbulspor
vs
Mardin 1969
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mardin 1969
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.11.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969
| Probability | İstanbulspor | Draw | Mardin 1969 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.0% | 25.2% | 52.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.0% | 25.2% | 52.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mardin 1969
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 match preview
İstanbulspor faces Mardin 1969 in the 1. Lig on November 1, 2026. The match sees İstanbulspor with a 22% probability of winning, while Mardin 1969 has a significantly higher chance at 53%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. Expected goals for İstanbulspor stand at 1.11, compared to Mardin 1969's 1.81, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Recent form shows İstanbulspor struggling with four losses in their last six matches, while Mardin 1969 has had a mixed run, winning three of their last six. The probabilities also suggest a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
İstanbulspor and Mardin 1969 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
İstanbulspor and Mardin 1969 attack and defence ratings
İstanbulspor
Mardin 1969
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mardin 1969 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | İstanbulspor | 22.0% |
| Draw | 25.2% | |
| Mardin 1969 | 52.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mardin 1969 win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.9% |
İstanbulspor vs Mardin 1969 stats
İstanbulspor and Mardin 1969 recent form
| İstanbulspor |
LLLLWL |
| Mardin 1969 |
LWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
İstanbulspor and Mardin 1969 season so far
İstanbulspor record
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
Mardin 1969 record
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.