1. Lig · ·Matchday 14

Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor

Garuda Lions Prediction: Mardin 1969

2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.33.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.

21 Kasım Stadium, MardinReferee: Muhammetali Metoglu

Mardin 1969 47%
Draw 26%
Batman Petrolspor 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Mardin 1969 wins
47%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
10% of simulated outcomes

Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMardin 1969DrawBatman Petrolspor
Model52.7%23.3%23.9%
Market44.5%27.0%28.5%
Final46.5%26.1%27.4%
Edge+2.1%-0.9%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Mardin 1969

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.33.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Mardin 1969 below our published probability: +2.1 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 2.10, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.3% per unit staked (our 46.5% × 2.10 − 1).

Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor match preview

Mardin 1969 is set to face Batman Petrolspor in a 1. Lig matchup on November 8, 2026. According to our model, Mardin 1969 holds a 52% probability of winning, while Batman Petrolspor has a 24% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Mardin 1969, with an expected goals tally of 2.02 for Mardin and 1.33 for Batman Petrolspor.

Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with our model indicating a 65% likelihood for over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance that both teams will find the net. Recent form shows Mardin 1969 with three wins in their last six matches, while Batman Petrolspor has two wins in their last six. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mardin 1969 ↓ / Batman Petrols → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 6% 2 7% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor expected goals

Mardin 1969 2.03
Batman Petrolspor 1.33

Total expected goals: 3.35

Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor attack and defence ratings

Mardin 1969

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Batman Petrolspor

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

1. Lig

Before and after this match

Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mardin 1969 46.5% 2.15 +2.1% 2.10
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.1% 1.54 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.7% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.3% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mardin 196946.5%
Draw26.1%
Batman Petrolspor27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.1%
Under 2.534.9%
Both teams to scoreYes64.7%
No35.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)53.5%
Handicap -1Mardin 1969 win31.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss47.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-19.5%
2-07.2%

Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor stats

Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mardin 1969 and Batman Petrolspor season so far

league record

Mardin 1969 record

  • They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.

Batman Petrolspor record

  • They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Mardin 1969 vs Batman Petrolspor odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 27.0%, away 28.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.02 3.35 3.20
Bet365 2.05 3.30 3.10
BetVictor 2.05 3.40 3.20
Betano 2.07 3.45 3.25
Betfair 2.00 3.40 3.20
Dafabet 2.05 3.50 3.25
Marathonbet 2.00 3.35 3.12
Pinnacle 2.10 3.60 3.25
SBO 1.95 3.11 2.98
William Hill 2.10 3.30 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▼ -0.05
X 3.38 ▲ +0.02
2 3.20 —

6 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Mardin 1969 Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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