Pendikspor
vs
İstanbulspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pendikspor
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.07.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Pendikspor is the favourite, not a value bet.
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor
| Probability | Pendikspor | Draw | İstanbulspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.1% | 23.2% | 18.7% |
| Market | 52.4% | 25.2% | 22.5% |
| Final | 53.8% | 24.7% | 21.5% |
| Edge | +1.4% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
Why Pendikspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.07.
Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.2% per unit staked (our 53.8% × 1.80 − 1).
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor match preview
Pendikspor is set to face İstanbulspor in a 1. Lig match on November 7, 2026. According to our model, Pendikspor holds a 57% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 23% and İstanbulspor at 19%. The expected goals for Pendikspor are 2.03, compared to İstanbulspor's 1.12, suggesting a potentially favorable outcome for the home side. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1, with a 10% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Pendikspor has recorded a win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, İstanbulspor has struggled, losing four of their last six games, with one win. The head-to-head record shows that in their last two encounters, Pendikspor has not managed a win, with two draws against İstanbulspor. The model indicates a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pendikspor and İstanbulspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Pendikspor and İstanbulspor attack and defence ratings
Pendikspor
İstanbulspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pendikspor | 53.8% | 1.86 | +1.4% | 1.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pendikspor | 53.8% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| İstanbulspor | 21.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pendikspor win | 35.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 41.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.3% |
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor stats
Pendikspor and İstanbulspor recent form
| Pendikspor |
WDLLLD |
| İstanbulspor |
LLLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pendikspor and İstanbulspor season so far
Pendikspor record
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
İstanbulspor record
- They have won 1 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 13 matches.
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Pendikspor | İstanbulspor | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-02 | İstanbulspor | Pendikspor | 1. Lig | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | İstanbulspor | Pendikspor | 1. Lig | 5-2 |
| 2024-12-21 | Pendikspor | İstanbulspor | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-15 | Pendikspor | İstanbulspor | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-04 | İstanbulspor | Pendikspor | Süper Lig | 2-4 |
| 2017-01-15 | Pendikspor | İstanbulspor | 2. Lig | 0-2 |
| 2016-09-03 | İstanbulspor | Pendikspor | 2. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2016-03-06 | Pendikspor | İstanbulspor | 2. Lig | 1-0 |
| 2015-10-24 | İstanbulspor | Pendikspor | 2. Lig | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Pendikspor vs İstanbulspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.4%, draw 25.2%, away 22.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.64 | 4.20 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.64 | 4.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.90 | 4.15 |
| SBO | 1.73 | 3.21 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .