Vanspor FK
vs
Sivasspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vanspor FK
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.16.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Vanspor FK is the favourite, not a value bet.
Vanspor FK vs Sivasspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vanspor FK vs Sivasspor
| Probability | Vanspor FK | Draw | Sivasspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.4% | 28.2% | 28.4% |
| Market | 48.1% | 26.7% | 25.2% |
| Final | 46.9% | 27.1% | 26.0% |
| Edge | -1.2% | +0.4% | +0.8% |
Why Vanspor FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.5% per unit staked (our 46.9% × 1.95 − 1).
Vanspor FK vs Sivasspor match preview
Vanspor FK and Sivasspor are set to face off in a 1. Lig match on November 7, 2026. According to our model, Vanspor FK has a 43% chance of winning, while Sivasspor has a 29% chance, with a 28% probability of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Vanspor FK, which has a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 54% chance for that outcome.
In terms of recent form, Vanspor FK has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Sivasspor has managed one win and five draws. The expected goals for Vanspor FK stand at 1.47, compared to 1.17 for Sivasspor. Historically, in their last two encounters, Vanspor FK has not secured a win, with two draws against Sivasspor.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vanspor FK and Sivasspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.63
Vanspor FK and Sivasspor attack and defence ratings
Vanspor FK
Sivasspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vanspor FK vs Sivasspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vanspor FK | 46.9% | 2.13 | -1.2% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vanspor FK | 46.9% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Sivasspor | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.1% |
| No | 45.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vanspor FK win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 56.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.1% |
Vanspor FK vs Sivasspor stats
Vanspor FK and Sivasspor recent form
| Vanspor FK |
WWLWLL |
| Sivasspor |
LLDDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vanspor FK and Sivasspor season so far
Vanspor FK record
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sivasspor record
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vanspor FK vs Sivasspor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Sivasspor | Vanspor FK | 1. Lig | 3-3 |
| 2025-09-20 | Vanspor FK | Sivasspor | 1. Lig | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vanspor FK vs Sivasspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.1%, draw 26.7%, away 25.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 3.42 | 3.66 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.55 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.42 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.69 | 3.77 |
| SBO | 1.89 | 3.05 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .