Vanspor FK
vs
Sarıyer
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vanspor FK
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer
| Probability | Vanspor FK | Draw | Sarıyer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 28.6% | 28.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.5% | 28.6% | 28.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vanspor FK
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer match preview
Vanspor FK and Sarıyer are set to clash in a closely contested match, with our model giving Vanspor FK a 37% chance of winning, while Sarıyer holds a 35% probability. The most likely scoreline is forecasted to be 2-1 in favor of Vanspor FK, occurring with an 8% likelihood. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with a 56% chance that both will find the net during the match.
In terms of recent form, Vanspor FK has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Sarıyer has also struggled, managing only one win in their last six. The expected goals for Vanspor FK stands at 1.36, slightly higher than Sarıyer's 1.32. Historically, in their last two encounters, Vanspor FK has not secured a win, with one draw and one loss against Sarıyer.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vanspor FK and Sarıyer expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Vanspor FK and Sarıyer attack and defence ratings
Vanspor FK
Sarıyer
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vanspor FK | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vanspor FK | 42.5% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Sarıyer | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.3% |
| No | 46.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vanspor FK win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 57.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 9.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.9% |
Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer stats
Vanspor FK and Sarıyer recent form
| Vanspor FK |
WLWLLD |
| Sarıyer |
LDLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vanspor FK and Sarıyer season so far
Vanspor FK record
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sarıyer record
- They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Vanspor FK vs Sarıyer head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Vanspor FK | Sarıyer | 1. Lig | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Sarıyer | Vanspor FK | 1. Lig | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.