Iğdır FK
vs
Antalyaspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Iğdır FK
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.85.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor
| Probability | Iğdır FK | Draw | Antalyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.3% | 26.7% | 18.0% |
| Market | 44.6% | 27.5% | 27.9% |
| Final | 47.3% | 27.3% | 25.4% |
| Edge | +2.7% | -0.2% | -2.5% |
Why Iğdır FK
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.85.
- The market prices Iğdır FK below our published probability: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.1% per unit staked (our 47.3% × 2.07 − 1).
Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor match preview
Iğdır FK hosts Antalyaspor on November 1, 2026, with a predicted outcome favoring the home side at 55%. The model suggests a most likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring with a probability of 12%. Iğdır FK's expected goals stand at 1.66, while Antalyaspor is projected at 0.85, indicating a potential struggle for the visitors to find the net.
In terms of recent form, Iğdır FK has shown consistency with three wins and two draws in their last six matches, while Antalyaspor has had a mixed bag with four wins and two losses in the same period. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals sit at 46%, and both teams to score is at 48%, reflecting a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Iğdır FK and Antalyaspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Iğdır FK and Antalyaspor attack and defence ratings
Iğdır FK
Antalyaspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iğdır FK | 47.3% | 2.12 | +2.7% | 2.07 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iğdır FK | 47.3% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Antalyaspor | 25.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.5% |
| No | 52.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Iğdır FK win | 30.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 44.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor stats
Iğdır FK and Antalyaspor recent form
| Iğdır FK |
WWDWDW |
| Antalyaspor |
LWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Iğdır FK and Antalyaspor season so far
Iğdır FK record
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antalyaspor record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Iğdır FK vs Antalyaspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.6%, draw 27.5%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 3.32 | 3.28 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 3.32 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.52 | 3.33 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |