Antalyaspor
vs
Bodrum FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Antalyaspor
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Antalyaspor is the favourite, not a value bet.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK
| Probability | Antalyaspor | Draw | Bodrum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.3% | 31.3% | 35.4% |
| Market | 50.3% | 26.8% | 22.8% |
| Final | 46.1% | 27.9% | 26.0% |
| Edge | -4.3% | +1.1% | +3.2% |
Why Antalyaspor
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.87, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.9% per unit staked (our 46.1% × 1.87 − 1).
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK match preview
Antalyaspor faces Bodrum FK in a matchup where the probabilities indicate a slight edge for the home side, with a 46% chance of victory compared to Bodrum FK's 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 10% probability. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Antalyaspor winning three of their last six matches, while Bodrum FK has two wins in their last six outings.
In terms of expected goals, Antalyaspor is projected to score 1.11, while Bodrum FK is slightly favored with an expected 1.15 goals. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 39%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 47%. Historically, in their last four encounters, Antalyaspor has secured two wins, with Bodrum FK winning once and one match ending in a draw.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Antalyaspor and Bodrum FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.26
Antalyaspor and Bodrum FK attack and defence ratings
Antalyaspor
Bodrum FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 46.1% | 2.17 | -4.3% | 1.87 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Antalyaspor | 46.1% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Bodrum FK | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.2% |
| No | 52.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Antalyaspor win | 13.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 66.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.7% | |
| 0-1 | 10.7% |
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK stats
Antalyaspor and Bodrum FK recent form
| Antalyaspor |
WLWWWL |
| Bodrum FK |
WWLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Antalyaspor and Bodrum FK season so far
Antalyaspor record
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bodrum FK record
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | Bodrum FK | Antalyaspor | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-05 | Bodrum FK | Antalyaspor | Türkiye Kupası | 3-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Antalyaspor | Bodrum FK | Süper Lig | 3-2 |
| 2022-07-14 | Antalyaspor | Bodrum FK | Friendlies Clubs | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Antalyaspor vs Bodrum FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.3%, draw 26.8%, away 22.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.34 | 4.08 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.45 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.50 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.55 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.34 | 3.98 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.52 | 4.18 |
| SBO | 1.82 | 3.05 | 3.41 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .